Recent high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 25 near 22–23 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Stable high pressure and modest warm-air advection from the southeast favor peak readings in the early afternoon, while limited cloud development and dry boundary-layer conditions limit further warming. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only a minority of members reaching 24 °C or holding at 21 °C, reflecting small uncertainties in timing of any residual moisture or slight shifts in the ridge axis. Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 25 août ?
22°C 41%
23°C 35%
21°C 13%
24°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
13%
22°C
41%
23°C
41%
24°C
13%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 41%
23°C 35%
21°C 13%
24°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$0 Vol.
41%
23°C
$44 Vol.
41%
24°C
$10 Vol.
13%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$5 Vol.
7%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 25 near 22–23 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Stable high pressure and modest warm-air advection from the southeast favor peak readings in the early afternoon, while limited cloud development and dry boundary-layer conditions limit further warming. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only a minority of members reaching 24 °C or holding at 21 °C, reflecting small uncertainties in timing of any residual moisture or slight shifts in the ridge axis. Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$54Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 25 near 22–23 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Stable high pressure and modest warm-air advection from the southeast favor peak readings in the early afternoon, while limited cloud development and dry boundary-layer conditions limit further warming. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only a minority of members reaching 24 °C or holding at 21 °C, reflecting small uncertainties in timing of any residual moisture or slight shifts in the ridge axis. Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 25 near 22–23 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Stable high pressure and modest warm-air advection from the southeast favor peak readings in the early afternoon, while limited cloud development and dry boundary-layer conditions limit further warming. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only a minority of members reaching 24 °C or holding at 21 °C, reflecting small uncertainties in timing of any residual moisture or slight shifts in the ridge axis. Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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