Wellington’s late-winter maximum temperatures cluster around the seasonal average of 12–13 °C, with trader-implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 14–16 °C. Recent model guidance and MetService outlooks indicate a transition from persistent cold southerlies to milder westerly flow ahead of August 23, supporting daytime highs near 14–15 °C under partly cloudy or fine conditions. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average temperatures for the Wellington region amid lingering El Niño influences that favor variable but not extreme airflow. Historical data show daily maxima rarely exceed 16 °C or fall below 11 °C in August, consistent with the narrow market distribution. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any further probability shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 23 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 23 août ?
15°C 50%
14°C 24%
16°C 23%
18°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
24%
15°C
50%
16°C
23%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 50%
14°C 24%
16°C 23%
18°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
9°C or below
$129 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$117 Vol.
1%
12°C
$117 Vol.
1%
13°C
$55 Vol.
4%
14°C
$72 Vol.
24%
15°C
$89 Vol.
50%
16°C
$164 Vol.
23%
17°C
$55 Vol.
3%
18°C
$20 Vol.
6%
19°C or higher
$142 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s late-winter maximum temperatures cluster around the seasonal average of 12–13 °C, with trader-implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 14–16 °C. Recent model guidance and MetService outlooks indicate a transition from persistent cold southerlies to milder westerly flow ahead of August 23, supporting daytime highs near 14–15 °C under partly cloudy or fine conditions. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average temperatures for the Wellington region amid lingering El Niño influences that favor variable but not extreme airflow. Historical data show daily maxima rarely exceed 16 °C or fall below 11 °C in August, consistent with the narrow market distribution. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any further probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,078Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s late-winter maximum temperatures cluster around the seasonal average of 12–13 °C, with trader-implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 14–16 °C. Recent model guidance and MetService outlooks indicate a transition from persistent cold southerlies to milder westerly flow ahead of August 23, supporting daytime highs near 14–15 °C under partly cloudy or fine conditions. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average temperatures for the Wellington region amid lingering El Niño influences that favor variable but not extreme airflow. Historical data show daily maxima rarely exceed 16 °C or fall below 11 °C in August, consistent with the narrow market distribution. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any further probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,078Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington’s late-winter maximum temperatures cluster around the seasonal average of 12–13 °C, with trader-implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 14–16 °C. Recent model guidance and MetService outlooks indicate a transition from persistent cold southerlies to milder westerly flow ahead of August 23, supporting daytime highs near 14–15 °C under partly cloudy or fine conditions. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average temperatures for the Wellington region amid lingering El Niño influences that favor variable but not extreme airflow. Historical data show daily maxima rarely exceed 16 °C or fall below 11 °C in August, consistent with the narrow market distribution. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any further probability shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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