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icon for La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 2 août ?

La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 2 août ?

icon for La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 2 août ?

La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 2 août ?

28°C 39%

27°C 36%

29°C 19%

26°C 17%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

28°C 39%

27°C 36%

29°C 19%

26°C 17%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

23°C ou moins

$0 Vol.

1%

24°C

$6 Vol.

13%

25°C

$0 Vol.

16%

26°C

$0 Vol.

17%

27°C

$0 Vol.

36%

28°C

$0 Vol.

39%

29°C

$0 Vol.

19%

30°C

$0 Vol.

2%

31°C

$0 Vol.

2%

32°C

$10 Vol.

2%

33°C ou plus

$10 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and World Weather Online point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 2 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the region's Mediterranean summer regime. This aligns with climatological norms, where early August highs average 28–29°C based on long-term records, with recent late-July observations showing similar stable conditions around 28–30°C. Uncertainty between 27°C and 28°C outcomes stems from minor model spread on exact timing of any diurnal peaks or localized sea-breeze moderation, rather than major synoptic shifts. No heatwave or cooling front is indicated in the short-term guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these central values.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26
Date de fin
2 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and World Weather Online point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 2 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the region's Mediterranean summer regime. This aligns with climatological norms, where early August highs average 28–29°C based on long-term records, with recent late-July observations showing similar stable conditions around 28–30°C. Uncertainty between 27°C and 28°C outcomes stems from minor model spread on exact timing of any diurnal peaks or localized sea-breeze moderation, rather than major synoptic shifts. No heatwave or cooling front is indicated in the short-term guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these central values.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26
Date de fin
2 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 2 août ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 28°C » à 39%, suivi de « 27°C » à 36%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 39¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 39% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 2 août ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 2 août ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 2 août ? » est « 28°C » à 39%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 39% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 27°C » à 36%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 2 août ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.