Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate Madrid maximum temperatures on August 24 will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with earlier August peaks near 32 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting uncertainty mainly in the timing and extent of any scattered showers or breaks of sun, which could nudge readings up or down by 1–2 °C. This narrow forecast distribution aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 27 °C and 28 °C, while historical late-August climatology shows a typical decline from mid-month highs and supports the low probabilities assigned to extremes above 30 °C or below 26 °C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 24 août ?
28°C 34%
27°C 31%
29°C 16%
26°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
31%
28°C
34%
29°C
16%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32 °C
1%
33°C ou plus
1%
28°C 34%
27°C 31%
29°C 16%
26°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
23°C or below
$131 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
1%
25°C
$248 Vol.
1%
26°C
$248 Vol.
9%
27°C
$453 Vol.
31%
28°C
$2,291 Vol.
34%
29°C
$327 Vol.
16%
30°C
$245 Vol.
3%
31°C
$10 Vol.
1%
32 °C
$10 Vol.
1%
33°C ou plus
$85 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate Madrid maximum temperatures on August 24 will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with earlier August peaks near 32 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting uncertainty mainly in the timing and extent of any scattered showers or breaks of sun, which could nudge readings up or down by 1–2 °C. This narrow forecast distribution aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 27 °C and 28 °C, while historical late-August climatology shows a typical decline from mid-month highs and supports the low probabilities assigned to extremes above 30 °C or below 26 °C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,058Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate Madrid maximum temperatures on August 24 will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with earlier August peaks near 32 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting uncertainty mainly in the timing and extent of any scattered showers or breaks of sun, which could nudge readings up or down by 1–2 °C. This narrow forecast distribution aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 27 °C and 28 °C, while historical late-August climatology shows a typical decline from mid-month highs and supports the low probabilities assigned to extremes above 30 °C or below 26 °C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,058Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate Madrid maximum temperatures on August 24 will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with earlier August peaks near 32 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting uncertainty mainly in the timing and extent of any scattered showers or breaks of sun, which could nudge readings up or down by 1–2 °C. This narrow forecast distribution aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 27 °C and 28 °C, while historical late-August climatology shows a typical decline from mid-month highs and supports the low probabilities assigned to extremes above 30 °C or below 26 °C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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