Traders have locked in 92-93°F as the highest temperature recorded in Miami on August 15, consistent with National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer patterns under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, where daytime heating combines with light southeasterly flow and urban heat effects to produce afternoon peaks in the low 90s. Dew points near 75°F supported high humidity but limited further warming, while sea-breeze convergence remained weak enough to avoid significant cooling or convective suppression. The market’s 100% implied probability reflects finalized station data with little revision risk. Only an unforecasted thunderstorm cell or sharp wind shift introducing cooler marine air could have produced a meaningfully different maximum, neither of which occurred.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 15 août ?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$56,556 Vol.
$56,556 Vol.
15 août 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Oui
94-95°F
Non
96-97°F
Non
98°F ou plus
Non
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$56,556 Vol.
$56,556 Vol.
15 août 2026
79°F or below
$132 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$259 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$232 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$2,023 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$1,709 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$4,064 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$8,164 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$21,759 Vol.
Oui
94-95°F
$10,389 Vol.
Non
96-97°F
$3,157 Vol.
Non
98°F ou plus
$4,668 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have locked in 92-93°F as the highest temperature recorded in Miami on August 15, consistent with National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer patterns under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, where daytime heating combines with light southeasterly flow and urban heat effects to produce afternoon peaks in the low 90s. Dew points near 75°F supported high humidity but limited further warming, while sea-breeze convergence remained weak enough to avoid significant cooling or convective suppression. The market’s 100% implied probability reflects finalized station data with little revision risk. Only an unforecasted thunderstorm cell or sharp wind shift introducing cooler marine air could have produced a meaningfully different maximum, neither of which occurred.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$56,556Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIARésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have locked in 92-93°F as the highest temperature recorded in Miami on August 15, consistent with National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer patterns under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, where daytime heating combines with light southeasterly flow and urban heat effects to produce afternoon peaks in the low 90s. Dew points near 75°F supported high humidity but limited further warming, while sea-breeze convergence remained weak enough to avoid significant cooling or convective suppression. The market’s 100% implied probability reflects finalized station data with little revision risk. Only an unforecasted thunderstorm cell or sharp wind shift introducing cooler marine air could have produced a meaningfully different maximum, neither of which occurred.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56,556Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIARésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Traders have locked in 92-93°F as the highest temperature recorded in Miami on August 15, consistent with National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer patterns under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, where daytime heating combines with light southeasterly flow and urban heat effects to produce afternoon peaks in the low 90s. Dew points near 75°F supported high humidity but limited further warming, while sea-breeze convergence remained weak enough to avoid significant cooling or convective suppression. The market’s 100% implied probability reflects finalized station data with little revision risk. Only an unforecasted thunderstorm cell or sharp wind shift introducing cooler marine air could have produced a meaningfully different maximum, neither of which occurred.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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