Forecast models from major agencies indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley will drive Milan’s July 14 maximum into the mid-30s °C range, with ensemble guidance clustering near 34–35 °C after accounting for local urban heat-island effects and modest northerly flow. Subtle differences among runs hinge on the precise timing of ridge axis passage and boundary-layer mixing depth, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Recent satellite and radiosonde data show strengthening subsidence and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight split between 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes while keeping higher or lower brackets at low implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow the uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 14 juillet ?
34°C 48%
35°C 27%
33°C 25%
36°C 2.5%
$18,336 Vol.
$18,336 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
25%
34°C
48%
35°C
27%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 48%
35°C 27%
33°C 25%
36°C 2.5%
$18,336 Vol.
$18,336 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
25%
34°C
48%
35°C
27%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from major agencies indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley will drive Milan’s July 14 maximum into the mid-30s °C range, with ensemble guidance clustering near 34–35 °C after accounting for local urban heat-island effects and modest northerly flow. Subtle differences among runs hinge on the precise timing of ridge axis passage and boundary-layer mixing depth, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Recent satellite and radiosonde data show strengthening subsidence and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight split between 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes while keeping higher or lower brackets at low implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow the uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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