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icon for La température la plus élevée à Milan le 15 juillet ?

La température la plus élevée à Milan le 15 juillet ?

icon for La température la plus élevée à Milan le 15 juillet ?

La température la plus élevée à Milan le 15 juillet ?

34°C 33%

33°C 24%

35°C 18%

32°C or below 13%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$11,571 Vol.

34°C 33%

33°C 24%

35°C 18%

32°C or below 13%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$11,571 Vol.

32°C or below

$2,182 Vol.

13%

33°C

$1,449 Vol.

24%

34°C

$1,190 Vol.

33%

35°C

$2,910 Vol.

18%

36°C

$752 Vol.

10%

37°C

$888 Vol.

1%

38°C

$505 Vol.

<1%

39°C

$1,213 Vol.

<1%

40°C

$132 Vol.

<1%

41°C

$127 Vol.

<1%

42°C or higher

$222 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Milan will likely see a daily high around or below 32°C on July 15, driven by increased cloud cover, easterly flow, and limited daytime heating ahead of a weak frontal passage. This positions the 32°C-or-below outcome as the market leader, consistent with official station data from Malpensa and historical July variability where transient cooling reduces peak values below seasonal averages of 30–33°C. Upcoming high-resolution runs from the ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service will refine whether any late intensification of insolation pushes readings into the 33–34°C range. Trader sentiment reflects these near-term atmospheric steering patterns rather than long-term climatology.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,571
Date de fin
15 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Milan will likely see a daily high around or below 32°C on July 15, driven by increased cloud cover, easterly flow, and limited daytime heating ahead of a weak frontal passage. This positions the 32°C-or-below outcome as the market leader, consistent with official station data from Malpensa and historical July variability where transient cooling reduces peak values below seasonal averages of 30–33°C. Upcoming high-resolution runs from the ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service will refine whether any late intensification of insolation pushes readings into the 33–34°C range. Trader sentiment reflects these near-term atmospheric steering patterns rather than long-term climatology.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,571
Date de fin
15 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus élevée à Milan le 15 juillet ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 34°C » à 33%, suivi de « 33°C » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 33¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « La température la plus élevée à Milan le 15 juillet ? » a généré $11.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 13, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus élevée à Milan le 15 juillet ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus élevée à Milan le 15 juillet ? » est « 34°C » à 33%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 33°C » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus élevée à Milan le 15 juillet ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.