Recent forecast runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a cooling trend over northern Italy driven by an Atlantic trough and associated cloud cover plus scattered showers, limiting daytime heating in Milan on September 10. This has shifted trader consensus toward a daily maximum of 21–22 °C, consistent with official guidance projecting highs near 20–24 °C amid 70–80 % rain probability. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any breaks in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects that can add 1–2 °C. Model spread remains modest but widens with each new run, and the next high-resolution updates from national meteorological services will likely refine the exact peak before resolution. September climatology places average highs around 22–25 °C, underscoring how this synoptic pattern deviates from seasonal norms.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 10 septembre ?
22°C 32%
21°C 23%
23°C 14%
20°C 13%
14°C ou moins
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
23%
22°C
32%
23°C
15%
24°C ou plus
11%
22°C 32%
21°C 23%
23°C 14%
20°C 13%
14°C ou moins
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
23%
22°C
32%
23°C
15%
24°C ou plus
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a cooling trend over northern Italy driven by an Atlantic trough and associated cloud cover plus scattered showers, limiting daytime heating in Milan on September 10. This has shifted trader consensus toward a daily maximum of 21–22 °C, consistent with official guidance projecting highs near 20–24 °C amid 70–80 % rain probability. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any breaks in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects that can add 1–2 °C. Model spread remains modest but widens with each new run, and the next high-resolution updates from national meteorological services will likely refine the exact peak before resolution. September climatology places average highs around 22–25 °C, underscoring how this synoptic pattern deviates from seasonal norms.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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