Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a marine layer and onshore southwest winds limiting highs near 66-69°F for San Francisco on August 23, consistent with seasonal coastal cooling. Trader-implied odds favoring 72-73°F reflect uncertainty in marine layer strength, potential reductions in cloud cover, and variable wind patterns that could allow brief warming. Key variables include the timing and depth of fog or stratus, sea surface temperatures, and any inland heat advection; historical August highs average around 69°F but show day-to-day swings of 5-10°F depending on these factors. Upcoming model updates and morning observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 23 août ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 23 août ?
72-73 °F 34%
74-75 °F 24%
70-71°F 21%
76-77°F 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
65°F ou moins
2%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
21%
72-73 °F
34%
74-75 °F
24%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82-83 °F
<1%
84°F ou plus
<1%
72-73 °F 34%
74-75 °F 24%
70-71°F 21%
76-77°F 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
65°F ou moins
$31 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$31 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$251 Vol.
7%
70-71°F
$352 Vol.
21%
72-73 °F
$205 Vol.
34%
74-75 °F
$286 Vol.
24%
76-77°F
$496 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$140 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$228 Vol.
1%
82-83 °F
$20 Vol.
<1%
84°F ou plus
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a marine layer and onshore southwest winds limiting highs near 66-69°F for San Francisco on August 23, consistent with seasonal coastal cooling. Trader-implied odds favoring 72-73°F reflect uncertainty in marine layer strength, potential reductions in cloud cover, and variable wind patterns that could allow brief warming. Key variables include the timing and depth of fog or stratus, sea surface temperatures, and any inland heat advection; historical August highs average around 69°F but show day-to-day swings of 5-10°F depending on these factors. Upcoming model updates and morning observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$2,075Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a marine layer and onshore southwest winds limiting highs near 66-69°F for San Francisco on August 23, consistent with seasonal coastal cooling. Trader-implied odds favoring 72-73°F reflect uncertainty in marine layer strength, potential reductions in cloud cover, and variable wind patterns that could allow brief warming. Key variables include the timing and depth of fog or stratus, sea surface temperatures, and any inland heat advection; historical August highs average around 69°F but show day-to-day swings of 5-10°F depending on these factors. Upcoming model updates and morning observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,075Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a marine layer and onshore southwest winds limiting highs near 66-69°F for San Francisco on August 23, consistent with seasonal coastal cooling. Trader-implied odds favoring 72-73°F reflect uncertainty in marine layer strength, potential reductions in cloud cover, and variable wind patterns that could allow brief warming. Key variables include the timing and depth of fog or stratus, sea surface temperatures, and any inland heat advection; historical August highs average around 69°F but show day-to-day swings of 5-10°F depending on these factors. Upcoming model updates and morning observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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