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icon for Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 2?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 2?

icon for Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 2?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 2?

juin 30

juil. 1

juil. 2

juin 30

juil. 1

juil. 2

68-69°F 34%

70-71°F 26%

66-67°F 19%

64-65°F 9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

68-69°F 34%

70-71°F 26%

66-67°F 19%

64-65°F 9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

59°F or below

$195 Vol.

1%

60-61°F

$0 Vol.

2%

62-63°F

$0 Vol.

5%

64-65°F

$0 Vol.

9%

66-67°F

$35 Vol.

19%

68-69°F

$2,167 Vol.

34%

70-71°F

$139 Vol.

26%

72-73°F

$10 Vol.

6%

74-75°F

$0 Vol.

2%

76-77°F

$35 Vol.

2%

78°F or higher

$290 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on July 2 points to a high near 68°F under strengthening onshore flow and a deeper marine layer, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F (35.5%) and 70-71°F (25%) bins. Persistent northwest winds and coastal upwelling typical of early July suppress inland heat transport, keeping downtown readings several degrees below the seasonal 70°F average. Recent forecast discussions note gusty conditions Friday that could limit afternoon warming further, while any temporary marine-layer thinning might briefly allow 70-71°F readings. Traders appear to weigh these short-term NWS updates and ensemble consensus heavily, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting the narrow uncertainty range this close to the observation window.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,837
Date de fin
2 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on July 2 points to a high near 68°F under strengthening onshore flow and a deeper marine layer, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F (35.5%) and 70-71°F (25%) bins. Persistent northwest winds and coastal upwelling typical of early July suppress inland heat transport, keeping downtown readings several degrees below the seasonal 70°F average. Recent forecast discussions note gusty conditions Friday that could limit afternoon warming further, while any temporary marine-layer thinning might briefly allow 70-71°F readings. Traders appear to weigh these short-term NWS updates and ensemble consensus heavily, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting the narrow uncertainty range this close to the observation window.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,837
Date de fin
2 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 2? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 68-69°F » à 34%, suivi de « 70-71°F » à 26%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 34¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 34% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 2? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 30, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 2? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 2? » est « 68-69°F » à 34%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 34% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 70-71°F » à 26%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 2? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.