Environment Canada’s official forecast for July 2 projects a high of 35°C under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Model consensus from regional ensembles highlights modest uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing over the urban heat island, where afternoon temperatures can vary by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Recent guidance shows stable warm-air advection from the southwest with limited moisture, keeping extreme outliers low-probability while elevating the chance that observed readings reach or exceed the 35°C threshold. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Toronto on July 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 2?
36°C 34%
35°C 31%
34°C 19%
37°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 juil. 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
19%
35°C
31%
36°C
34%
37°C
11%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
1%
36°C 34%
35°C 31%
34°C 19%
37°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 juil. 2026
31°C or below
$151 Vol.
2%
32°C
$25 Vol.
3%
33°C
$56 Vol.
5%
34°C
$372 Vol.
19%
35°C
$164 Vol.
31%
36°C
$22 Vol.
34%
37°C
$48 Vol.
11%
38°C
$169 Vol.
2%
39°C
$7 Vol.
2%
40°C
$140 Vol.
2%
41°C or higher
$370 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast for July 2 projects a high of 35°C under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Model consensus from regional ensembles highlights modest uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing over the urban heat island, where afternoon temperatures can vary by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Recent guidance shows stable warm-air advection from the southwest with limited moisture, keeping extreme outliers low-probability while elevating the chance that observed readings reach or exceed the 35°C threshold. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,525Date de fin
2 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast for July 2 projects a high of 35°C under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Model consensus from regional ensembles highlights modest uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing over the urban heat island, where afternoon temperatures can vary by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Recent guidance shows stable warm-air advection from the southwest with limited moisture, keeping extreme outliers low-probability while elevating the chance that observed readings reach or exceed the 35°C threshold. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,525Date de fin
2 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada’s official forecast for July 2 projects a high of 35°C under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Model consensus from regional ensembles highlights modest uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing over the urban heat island, where afternoon temperatures can vary by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Recent guidance shows stable warm-air advection from the southwest with limited moisture, keeping extreme outliers low-probability while elevating the chance that observed readings reach or exceed the 35°C threshold. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes