Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping San Francisco highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 70°F on July 29. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to a gradual warming trend midweek behind an expanding ridge, yet strong afternoon sea breezes and possible morning stratus should limit inland heat intrusion into the city. Recent Bay Area heat episodes have largely spared the immediate coast, keeping the distribution centered on 68–73°F bins. Key variables include marine-layer depth, wind speed and direction, and any late-day clearing that could allow an extra degree or two; traders price the highest uncertainty around these thresholds given typical July variability and the one-day forecast horizon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 29 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 29 juillet ?
68-69 °F 100.0%
61°F ou moins <1%
62-63 °F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$31,787 Vol.
$31,787 Vol.
29 juil. 2026
61°F ou moins
<1%
62-63 °F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67 °F
<1%
68-69 °F
100%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75 °F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79 °F
<1%
80°F ou plus
<1%
68-69 °F 100.0%
61°F ou moins <1%
62-63 °F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$31,787 Vol.
$31,787 Vol.
29 juil. 2026
61°F ou moins
$757 Vol.
<1%
62-63 °F
$652 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$5,176 Vol.
<1%
66-67 °F
$4,755 Vol.
<1%
68-69 °F
$6,881 Vol.
100%
70-71°F
$6,276 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,693 Vol.
<1%
74-75 °F
$1,128 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,670 Vol.
<1%
78-79 °F
$1,310 Vol.
<1%
80°F ou plus
$488 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping San Francisco highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 70°F on July 29. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to a gradual warming trend midweek behind an expanding ridge, yet strong afternoon sea breezes and possible morning stratus should limit inland heat intrusion into the city. Recent Bay Area heat episodes have largely spared the immediate coast, keeping the distribution centered on 68–73°F bins. Key variables include marine-layer depth, wind speed and direction, and any late-day clearing that could allow an extra degree or two; traders price the highest uncertainty around these thresholds given typical July variability and the one-day forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Volume
$31,787Date de fin
29 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping San Francisco highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 70°F on July 29. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to a gradual warming trend midweek behind an expanding ridge, yet strong afternoon sea breezes and possible morning stratus should limit inland heat intrusion into the city. Recent Bay Area heat episodes have largely spared the immediate coast, keeping the distribution centered on 68–73°F bins. Key variables include marine-layer depth, wind speed and direction, and any late-day clearing that could allow an extra degree or two; traders price the highest uncertainty around these thresholds given typical July variability and the one-day forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,787Date de fin
29 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping San Francisco highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 70°F on July 29. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to a gradual warming trend midweek behind an expanding ridge, yet strong afternoon sea breezes and possible morning stratus should limit inland heat intrusion into the city. Recent Bay Area heat episodes have largely spared the immediate coast, keeping the distribution centered on 68–73°F bins. Key variables include marine-layer depth, wind speed and direction, and any late-day clearing that could allow an extra degree or two; traders price the highest uncertainty around these thresholds given typical July variability and the one-day forecast horizon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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