Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on June 30 points to a high near 66–69°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering on those bins. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer off the Pacific are expected to limit daytime warming, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 67°F at downtown and airport stations. Recent model runs show no strong offshore wind shift or upper-level ridge that would allow temperatures to reach the low 70s, while fog clearance timing and boundary-layer mixing remain the key variables that could nudge readings slightly higher or keep them capped near 66°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 30?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 30?
68-69°F 28%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 13%
70-71°F 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
3%
76°F or higher
3%
68-69°F 28%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 13%
70-71°F 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2026
57°F or below
$608 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$145 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$165 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$135 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$185 Vol.
13%
66-67°F
$2,915 Vol.
22%
68-69°F
$2,085 Vol.
28%
70-71°F
$215 Vol.
12%
72-73°F
$249 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$155 Vol.
3%
76°F or higher
$720 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on June 30 points to a high near 66–69°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering on those bins. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer off the Pacific are expected to limit daytime warming, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 67°F at downtown and airport stations. Recent model runs show no strong offshore wind shift or upper-level ridge that would allow temperatures to reach the low 70s, while fog clearance timing and boundary-layer mixing remain the key variables that could nudge readings slightly higher or keep them capped near 66°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 28, 2026, 11:02 PM ET
Volume
$7,578Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 28, 2026, 11:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on June 30 points to a high near 66–69°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering on those bins. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer off the Pacific are expected to limit daytime warming, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 67°F at downtown and airport stations. Recent model runs show no strong offshore wind shift or upper-level ridge that would allow temperatures to reach the low 70s, while fog clearance timing and boundary-layer mixing remain the key variables that could nudge readings slightly higher or keep them capped near 66°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,578Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 28, 2026, 11:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on June 30 points to a high near 66–69°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering on those bins. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer off the Pacific are expected to limit daytime warming, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 67°F at downtown and airport stations. Recent model runs show no strong offshore wind shift or upper-level ridge that would allow temperatures to reach the low 70s, while fog clearance timing and boundary-layer mixing remain the key variables that could nudge readings slightly higher or keep them capped near 66°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes