Forecast models from southeastern Brazil monitoring agencies point to a daily maximum near 28°C in São Paulo on August 16, consistent with the market's leading 32.5% probability for that outcome and closely grouped shares for 27–29°C. This reflects a warmer-than-average air mass advecting over the region during Southern Hemisphere winter, combined with reduced cloud cover that allows greater solar heating during peak afternoon hours. Typical August climatology shows highs around 25–27°C, so current conditions represent modest positive anomalies; subtle differences among the top outcomes hinge on exact timing of maximum temperatures, local urban heat effects, and precise station observations such as at Guarulhos International Airport. Updated model runs and official data releases will continue to refine the resolution window throughout the day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 16 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 16 août ?
28°C 33%
29°C 26%
27°C 22%
26°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
13%
27°C
22%
28°C
33%
29°C
26%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 33%
29°C 26%
27°C 22%
26°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
22°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$401 Vol.
1%
25°C
$587 Vol.
2%
26°C
$696 Vol.
13%
27°C
$3,250 Vol.
22%
28°C
$1,716 Vol.
33%
29°C
$441 Vol.
26%
30°C
$497 Vol.
5%
31°C
$138 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$344 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from southeastern Brazil monitoring agencies point to a daily maximum near 28°C in São Paulo on August 16, consistent with the market's leading 32.5% probability for that outcome and closely grouped shares for 27–29°C. This reflects a warmer-than-average air mass advecting over the region during Southern Hemisphere winter, combined with reduced cloud cover that allows greater solar heating during peak afternoon hours. Typical August climatology shows highs around 25–27°C, so current conditions represent modest positive anomalies; subtle differences among the top outcomes hinge on exact timing of maximum temperatures, local urban heat effects, and precise station observations such as at Guarulhos International Airport. Updated model runs and official data releases will continue to refine the resolution window throughout the day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$8,445Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from southeastern Brazil monitoring agencies point to a daily maximum near 28°C in São Paulo on August 16, consistent with the market's leading 32.5% probability for that outcome and closely grouped shares for 27–29°C. This reflects a warmer-than-average air mass advecting over the region during Southern Hemisphere winter, combined with reduced cloud cover that allows greater solar heating during peak afternoon hours. Typical August climatology shows highs around 25–27°C, so current conditions represent modest positive anomalies; subtle differences among the top outcomes hinge on exact timing of maximum temperatures, local urban heat effects, and precise station observations such as at Guarulhos International Airport. Updated model runs and official data releases will continue to refine the resolution window throughout the day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,445Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from southeastern Brazil monitoring agencies point to a daily maximum near 28°C in São Paulo on August 16, consistent with the market's leading 32.5% probability for that outcome and closely grouped shares for 27–29°C. This reflects a warmer-than-average air mass advecting over the region during Southern Hemisphere winter, combined with reduced cloud cover that allows greater solar heating during peak afternoon hours. Typical August climatology shows highs around 25–27°C, so current conditions represent modest positive anomalies; subtle differences among the top outcomes hinge on exact timing of maximum temperatures, local urban heat effects, and precise station observations such as at Guarulhos International Airport. Updated model runs and official data releases will continue to refine the resolution window throughout the day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes