Recent KMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to highs of 30–32°C for Incheon on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, consistent with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer warmth. Persistent high humidity and weak steering flow have maintained above-normal temperatures across the Korean Peninsula following the early-August heatwave, though no strong cold-air advection or typhoon influence is currently projected to alter the pattern before the target date. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because they align closely with official short-range forecasts and historical analogs for the period, while higher or lower outcomes would require substantial shifts in model consensus or unexpected synoptic changes ahead of resolution. Updated KMA briefings and refined model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any adjustments in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 24 août ?
31°C 38%
30°C 27%
32°C 15%
29°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
27%
31°C
38%
32°C
15%
33°C or higher
4%
31°C 38%
30°C 27%
32°C 15%
29°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
23°C or below
$266 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$18 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$26 Vol.
5%
29°C
$36 Vol.
10%
30°C
$52 Vol.
27%
31°C
$109 Vol.
38%
32°C
$37 Vol.
15%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to highs of 30–32°C for Incheon on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, consistent with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer warmth. Persistent high humidity and weak steering flow have maintained above-normal temperatures across the Korean Peninsula following the early-August heatwave, though no strong cold-air advection or typhoon influence is currently projected to alter the pattern before the target date. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because they align closely with official short-range forecasts and historical analogs for the period, while higher or lower outcomes would require substantial shifts in model consensus or unexpected synoptic changes ahead of resolution. Updated KMA briefings and refined model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any adjustments in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$954Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to highs of 30–32°C for Incheon on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, consistent with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer warmth. Persistent high humidity and weak steering flow have maintained above-normal temperatures across the Korean Peninsula following the early-August heatwave, though no strong cold-air advection or typhoon influence is currently projected to alter the pattern before the target date. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because they align closely with official short-range forecasts and historical analogs for the period, while higher or lower outcomes would require substantial shifts in model consensus or unexpected synoptic changes ahead of resolution. Updated KMA briefings and refined model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any adjustments in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$954Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to highs of 30–32°C for Incheon on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, consistent with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer warmth. Persistent high humidity and weak steering flow have maintained above-normal temperatures across the Korean Peninsula following the early-August heatwave, though no strong cold-air advection or typhoon influence is currently projected to alter the pattern before the target date. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because they align closely with official short-range forecasts and historical analogs for the period, while higher or lower outcomes would require substantial shifts in model consensus or unexpected synoptic changes ahead of resolution. Updated KMA briefings and refined model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any adjustments in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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