Recent model guidance from global ensembles indicates Shanghai's August 3 maximum will likely peak near 34–35 °C under the influence of a strong subtropical ridge, with limited moisture and light winds favoring daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, reflecting modest uncertainty from possible afternoon convective clouds or a weak sea-breeze circulation off the East China Sea that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Current conditions show the region already experiencing consecutive days above 35 °C, consistent with climatological norms for early August, while official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration continue to emphasize hot, mostly sunny weather through the period. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at the official Shanghai station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 3 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 3 août ?
35°C 40%
34°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
18%
34°C
33%
35°C
40%
36°C
11%
37°C
1%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 40%
34°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
29°C or below
$273 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$150 Vol.
2%
32°C
$284 Vol.
3%
33°C
$569 Vol.
18%
34°C
$807 Vol.
33%
35°C
$1,197 Vol.
40%
36°C
$261 Vol.
11%
37°C
$1,465 Vol.
1%
38°C
$106 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$772 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from global ensembles indicates Shanghai's August 3 maximum will likely peak near 34–35 °C under the influence of a strong subtropical ridge, with limited moisture and light winds favoring daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, reflecting modest uncertainty from possible afternoon convective clouds or a weak sea-breeze circulation off the East China Sea that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Current conditions show the region already experiencing consecutive days above 35 °C, consistent with climatological norms for early August, while official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration continue to emphasize hot, mostly sunny weather through the period. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at the official Shanghai station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,014Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from global ensembles indicates Shanghai's August 3 maximum will likely peak near 34–35 °C under the influence of a strong subtropical ridge, with limited moisture and light winds favoring daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, reflecting modest uncertainty from possible afternoon convective clouds or a weak sea-breeze circulation off the East China Sea that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Current conditions show the region already experiencing consecutive days above 35 °C, consistent with climatological norms for early August, while official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration continue to emphasize hot, mostly sunny weather through the period. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at the official Shanghai station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,014Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from global ensembles indicates Shanghai's August 3 maximum will likely peak near 34–35 °C under the influence of a strong subtropical ridge, with limited moisture and light winds favoring daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, reflecting modest uncertainty from possible afternoon convective clouds or a weak sea-breeze circulation off the East China Sea that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Current conditions show the region already experiencing consecutive days above 35 °C, consistent with climatological norms for early August, while official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration continue to emphasize hot, mostly sunny weather through the period. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at the official Shanghai station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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