A low-pressure system approaching from the South China Sea is driving heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across northern Taiwan on September 1, suppressing daytime heating and favoring maximum temperatures near 27–28°C. Official Central Weather Administration guidance highlights unstable conditions with 65–90% precipitation chances and potential tropical depression development, which enhances evaporative cooling, reduces solar insolation, and shifts steering winds. These factors differentiate market-implied odds clustered at 31–33°C from lower outcomes, as model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains the dominant uncertainty ahead of resolution. Historical September baselines near 30°C provide limited precedent for such transient suppression.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Taipei le 1er septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Taipei le 1er septembre ?
32°C 26%
31°C 23%
33°C 19%
30°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
23%
32°C
26%
33°C
19%
34°C
13%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 26%
31°C 23%
33°C 19%
30°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
27°C or below
$40 Vol.
1%
28°C
$140 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C
$0 Vol.
15%
31°C
$5 Vol.
23%
32°C
$281 Vol.
26%
33°C
$78 Vol.
19%
34°C
$33 Vol.
13%
35°C
$25 Vol.
3%
36°C
$0 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$406 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A low-pressure system approaching from the South China Sea is driving heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across northern Taiwan on September 1, suppressing daytime heating and favoring maximum temperatures near 27–28°C. Official Central Weather Administration guidance highlights unstable conditions with 65–90% precipitation chances and potential tropical depression development, which enhances evaporative cooling, reduces solar insolation, and shifts steering winds. These factors differentiate market-implied odds clustered at 31–33°C from lower outcomes, as model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains the dominant uncertainty ahead of resolution. Historical September baselines near 30°C provide limited precedent for such transient suppression.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,005Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A low-pressure system approaching from the South China Sea is driving heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across northern Taiwan on September 1, suppressing daytime heating and favoring maximum temperatures near 27–28°C. Official Central Weather Administration guidance highlights unstable conditions with 65–90% precipitation chances and potential tropical depression development, which enhances evaporative cooling, reduces solar insolation, and shifts steering winds. These factors differentiate market-implied odds clustered at 31–33°C from lower outcomes, as model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains the dominant uncertainty ahead of resolution. Historical September baselines near 30°C provide limited precedent for such transient suppression.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,005Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...A low-pressure system approaching from the South China Sea is driving heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across northern Taiwan on September 1, suppressing daytime heating and favoring maximum temperatures near 27–28°C. Official Central Weather Administration guidance highlights unstable conditions with 65–90% precipitation chances and potential tropical depression development, which enhances evaporative cooling, reduces solar insolation, and shifts steering winds. These factors differentiate market-implied odds clustered at 31–33°C from lower outcomes, as model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains the dominant uncertainty ahead of resolution. Historical September baselines near 30°C provide limited precedent for such transient suppression.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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