**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Toronto on July 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 6?
26°C 36%
27°C 27%
25°C 17%
28°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$12,681 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,681 Vol.
6 juil. 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
17%
26°C
36%
27°C
27%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 36%
27°C 27%
25°C 17%
28°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$12,681 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,681 Vol.
6 juil. 2026
22°C or below
$429 Vol.
1%
23°C
$738 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$676 Vol.
3%
25°C
$3,704 Vol.
17%
26°C
$3,440 Vol.
36%
27°C
$966 Vol.
27%
28°C
$474 Vol.
9%
29°C
$584 Vol.
1%
30°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,028 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$306 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$12,681Date de fin
6 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,681Date de fin
6 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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