Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts point to building high pressure over northwest Europe, promoting warm southerly flow and clear skies that support peak temperatures near 30–31°C in London on July 6. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and subsidence warming, though slight differences in the precise position of the ridge and any residual Atlantic moisture create spread across models, with some runs capping the maximum at 29°C and others briefly touching 32°C. Current trader positioning aligns closely with these central tendencies while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour convective details and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on July 6?
Highest temperature in London on July 6?
30°C 45%
31°C 22%
32°C 12%
29°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 juil. 2026
26°C or below
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
45%
31°C
22%
32°C
12%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 45%
31°C 22%
32°C 12%
29°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 juil. 2026
26°C or below
$40 Vol.
3%
27°C
$10 Vol.
4%
28°C
$41 Vol.
5%
29°C
$13 Vol.
12%
30°C
$262 Vol.
45%
31°C
$131 Vol.
22%
32°C
$89 Vol.
12%
33°C
$20 Vol.
5%
34°C
$10 Vol.
1%
35°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$78 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts point to building high pressure over northwest Europe, promoting warm southerly flow and clear skies that support peak temperatures near 30–31°C in London on July 6. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and subsidence warming, though slight differences in the precise position of the ridge and any residual Atlantic moisture create spread across models, with some runs capping the maximum at 29°C and others briefly touching 32°C. Current trader positioning aligns closely with these central tendencies while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour convective details and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Volume
$693Date de fin
6 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts point to building high pressure over northwest Europe, promoting warm southerly flow and clear skies that support peak temperatures near 30–31°C in London on July 6. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and subsidence warming, though slight differences in the precise position of the ridge and any residual Atlantic moisture create spread across models, with some runs capping the maximum at 29°C and others briefly touching 32°C. Current trader positioning aligns closely with these central tendencies while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour convective details and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$693Date de fin
6 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts point to building high pressure over northwest Europe, promoting warm southerly flow and clear skies that support peak temperatures near 30–31°C in London on July 6. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and subsidence warming, though slight differences in the precise position of the ridge and any residual Atlantic moisture create spread across models, with some runs capping the maximum at 29°C and others briefly touching 32°C. Current trader positioning aligns closely with these central tendencies while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour convective details and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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