Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on July 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 6?
22°C 34%
21°C 16%
20°C 15%
23°C 13.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 juil. 2026
18°C or below
8%
19°C
5%
20°C
9%
21°C
14%
22°C
34%
23°C
13%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 34%
21°C 16%
20°C 15%
23°C 13.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 juil. 2026
18°C or below
$37 Vol.
8%
19°C
$20 Vol.
5%
20°C
$71 Vol.
9%
21°C
$5 Vol.
14%
22°C
$37 Vol.
34%
23°C
$0 Vol.
13%
24°C
$0 Vol.
7%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$12 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$186Date de fin
6 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$186Date de fin
6 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes