Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 4 will likely reach 33–34 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supported by a warm anomaly across central Europe and above-average North Atlantic sea-surface temperatures. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create tight clustering around these thresholds, with 35 °C possible only if daytime heating exceeds current guidance. Historical August extremes near 30 °C provide context, yet the current pattern favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine peak values ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 4 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 4 août ?
33°C 31%
34°C 23%
32°C 20%
35°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C
19%
33°C
31%
34°C
30%
35°C
17%
36°C ou plus
4%
33°C 31%
34°C 23%
32°C 20%
35°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
26°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C
$20 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1 Vol.
12%
32°C
$10 Vol.
19%
33°C
$3 Vol.
31%
34°C
$38 Vol.
30%
35°C
$0 Vol.
17%
36°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 4 will likely reach 33–34 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supported by a warm anomaly across central Europe and above-average North Atlantic sea-surface temperatures. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create tight clustering around these thresholds, with 35 °C possible only if daytime heating exceeds current guidance. Historical August extremes near 30 °C provide context, yet the current pattern favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine peak values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$92Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 4 will likely reach 33–34 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supported by a warm anomaly across central Europe and above-average North Atlantic sea-surface temperatures. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create tight clustering around these thresholds, with 35 °C possible only if daytime heating exceeds current guidance. Historical August extremes near 30 °C provide context, yet the current pattern favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine peak values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$92Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 4 will likely reach 33–34 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supported by a warm anomaly across central Europe and above-average North Atlantic sea-surface temperatures. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create tight clustering around these thresholds, with 35 °C possible only if daytime heating exceeds current guidance. Historical August extremes near 30 °C provide context, yet the current pattern favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine peak values ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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