Current forecast consensus from European models and Poland’s IMGW points to a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C in Warsaw on August 3, supporting the market’s leading probabilities for 29 °C and 30 °C. A weak high-pressure ridge is expected to limit cloud cover early in the day, allowing moderate solar heating, while light southerly flow brings slightly above-normal air masses; however, increasing moisture and possible showers by afternoon introduce cooling that caps extremes. Key variables include the timing and coverage of any convection, boundary-layer mixing depth, and small differences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional ensembles. Updated model runs and official IMGW briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 3 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 3 août ?
29°C 33%
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
31°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
20%
29°C
33%
30°C
23%
31°C
20%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 33%
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
31°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
25°C or below
$250 Vol.
1%
26°C
$20 Vol.
3%
27°C
$32 Vol.
4%
28°C
$40 Vol.
20%
29°C
$8 Vol.
33%
30°C
$10 Vol.
23%
31°C
$0 Vol.
20%
32°C
$5 Vol.
3%
33°C
$20 Vol.
1%
34°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from European models and Poland’s IMGW points to a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C in Warsaw on August 3, supporting the market’s leading probabilities for 29 °C and 30 °C. A weak high-pressure ridge is expected to limit cloud cover early in the day, allowing moderate solar heating, while light southerly flow brings slightly above-normal air masses; however, increasing moisture and possible showers by afternoon introduce cooling that caps extremes. Key variables include the timing and coverage of any convection, boundary-layer mixing depth, and small differences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional ensembles. Updated model runs and official IMGW briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$420Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from European models and Poland’s IMGW points to a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C in Warsaw on August 3, supporting the market’s leading probabilities for 29 °C and 30 °C. A weak high-pressure ridge is expected to limit cloud cover early in the day, allowing moderate solar heating, while light southerly flow brings slightly above-normal air masses; however, increasing moisture and possible showers by afternoon introduce cooling that caps extremes. Key variables include the timing and coverage of any convection, boundary-layer mixing depth, and small differences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional ensembles. Updated model runs and official IMGW briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$420Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from European models and Poland’s IMGW points to a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C in Warsaw on August 3, supporting the market’s leading probabilities for 29 °C and 30 °C. A weak high-pressure ridge is expected to limit cloud cover early in the day, allowing moderate solar heating, while light southerly flow brings slightly above-normal air masses; however, increasing moisture and possible showers by afternoon introduce cooling that caps extremes. Key variables include the timing and coverage of any convection, boundary-layer mixing depth, and small differences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional ensembles. Updated model runs and official IMGW briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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