Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 3 amid persistent showers and high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon. Cloud cover limits radiational cooling while urban heat retention and a seasonally elevated baseline (historical August average minimum around 26–27°C) anchor expectations in this narrow band. The 51.5% market-implied probability on 25°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and limited model spread, with modest probability mass on 24°C and 26°C capturing small forecast revisions possible before resolution. No tropical cyclone or significant cold surge is projected to alter the pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 3 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 3 août ?
25°C 43%
26°C 36%
27°C 12%
23°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
8%
23°C
9%
24°C
36%
25°C
45%
26°C
22%
27°C
12%
28°C
7%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 43%
26°C 36%
27°C 12%
23°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$74 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$40 Vol.
8%
23°C
$21 Vol.
9%
24°C
$0 Vol.
36%
25°C
$517 Vol.
45%
26°C
$14 Vol.
22%
27°C
$30 Vol.
12%
28°C
$285 Vol.
7%
29°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 3 amid persistent showers and high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon. Cloud cover limits radiational cooling while urban heat retention and a seasonally elevated baseline (historical August average minimum around 26–27°C) anchor expectations in this narrow band. The 51.5% market-implied probability on 25°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and limited model spread, with modest probability mass on 24°C and 26°C capturing small forecast revisions possible before resolution. No tropical cyclone or significant cold surge is projected to alter the pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,060Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 3 amid persistent showers and high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon. Cloud cover limits radiational cooling while urban heat retention and a seasonally elevated baseline (historical August average minimum around 26–27°C) anchor expectations in this narrow band. The 51.5% market-implied probability on 25°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and limited model spread, with modest probability mass on 24°C and 26°C capturing small forecast revisions possible before resolution. No tropical cyclone or significant cold surge is projected to alter the pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,060Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 3 amid persistent showers and high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon. Cloud cover limits radiational cooling while urban heat retention and a seasonally elevated baseline (historical August average minimum around 26–27°C) anchor expectations in this narrow band. The 51.5% market-implied probability on 25°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and limited model spread, with modest probability mass on 24°C and 26°C capturing small forecast revisions possible before resolution. No tropical cyclone or significant cold surge is projected to alter the pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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