Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, triggering an emergency succession process. The Assembly of Experts elected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March, establishing continuity under a hard-line clerical and IRGC-influenced structure amid ongoing conflict. As of late August 2026, Mojtaba remains publicly absent six months into the role, issuing only written statements while reportedly recovering from injuries sustained in the attack. Iranian officials maintain he continues to make final decisions from secure locations, though speculation persists about his health and effective authority. The Assembly of Experts, interim leadership council, and senior military figures remain central to any further transition dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$24,270,435 Vol.
31 août 2026
31 août
<1%
30 septembre
3%
31 octobre
7%
30 novembre
11%
31 décembre
17%
30 juin 2027
25%
$24,270,435 Vol.
31 août
$1,517,075 Vol.
<1%
30 septembre
$513,684 Vol.
3%
31 octobre
$34,656 Vol.
7%
30 novembre
$23,050 Vol.
11%
31 décembre
$4,241,385 Vol.
17%
30 juin 2027
$252,862 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, triggering an emergency succession process. The Assembly of Experts elected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March, establishing continuity under a hard-line clerical and IRGC-influenced structure amid ongoing conflict. As of late August 2026, Mojtaba remains publicly absent six months into the role, issuing only written statements while reportedly recovering from injuries sustained in the attack. Iranian officials maintain he continues to make final decisions from secure locations, though speculation persists about his health and effective authority. The Assembly of Experts, interim leadership council, and senior military figures remain central to any further transition dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jul 21, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Volume
$24,270,435Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 21, 2026, 11:05 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, triggering an emergency succession process. The Assembly of Experts elected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March, establishing continuity under a hard-line clerical and IRGC-influenced structure amid ongoing conflict. As of late August 2026, Mojtaba remains publicly absent six months into the role, issuing only written statements while reportedly recovering from injuries sustained in the attack. Iranian officials maintain he continues to make final decisions from secure locations, though speculation persists about his health and effective authority. The Assembly of Experts, interim leadership council, and senior military figures remain central to any further transition dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$24,270,435Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 21, 2026, 11:05 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, triggering an emergency succession process. The Assembly of Experts elected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March, establishing continuity under a hard-line clerical and IRGC-influenced structure amid ongoing conflict. As of late August 2026, Mojtaba remains publicly absent six months into the role, issuing only written statements while reportedly recovering from injuries sustained in the attack. Iranian officials maintain he continues to make final decisions from secure locations, though speculation persists about his health and effective authority. The Assembly of Experts, interim leadership council, and senior military figures remain central to any further transition dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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