Kansas's open gubernatorial seat after term-limited Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly has produced Republican nominee Ty Masterson and Democratic nominee Cindy Holscher following August 4 primaries. The state's longstanding Republican legislative dominance and overall partisan lean position Masterson as the frontrunner in trader assessments, reflected in the 66.5% Republican consensus. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the contest Lean or Tilt Republican, projecting a modest edge for Masterson based on historical voting patterns and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Democrats. Limited general-election polling since the primaries contributes to uncertainty, but the consistent Republican tilt in structural factors sustains the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$20,060 Vol.
$20,060 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
67%
Démocrate
34%
$20,060 Vol.
$20,060 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$10,591 Vol.
67%
Démocrate
$9,469 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's open gubernatorial seat after term-limited Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly has produced Republican nominee Ty Masterson and Democratic nominee Cindy Holscher following August 4 primaries. The state's longstanding Republican legislative dominance and overall partisan lean position Masterson as the frontrunner in trader assessments, reflected in the 66.5% Republican consensus. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the contest Lean or Tilt Republican, projecting a modest edge for Masterson based on historical voting patterns and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Democrats. Limited general-election polling since the primaries contributes to uncertainty, but the consistent Republican tilt in structural factors sustains the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$20,060Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's open gubernatorial seat after term-limited Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly has produced Republican nominee Ty Masterson and Democratic nominee Cindy Holscher following August 4 primaries. The state's longstanding Republican legislative dominance and overall partisan lean position Masterson as the frontrunner in trader assessments, reflected in the 66.5% Republican consensus. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the contest Lean or Tilt Republican, projecting a modest edge for Masterson based on historical voting patterns and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Democrats. Limited general-election polling since the primaries contributes to uncertainty, but the consistent Republican tilt in structural factors sustains the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$20,060Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas's open gubernatorial seat after term-limited Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly has produced Republican nominee Ty Masterson and Democratic nominee Cindy Holscher following August 4 primaries. The state's longstanding Republican legislative dominance and overall partisan lean position Masterson as the frontrunner in trader assessments, reflected in the 66.5% Republican consensus. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the contest Lean or Tilt Republican, projecting a modest edge for Masterson based on historical voting patterns and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Democrats. Limited general-election polling since the primaries contributes to uncertainty, but the consistent Republican tilt in structural factors sustains the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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