Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 26–28°C for July 17 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Recent daily minima in early July have clustered around 26°C, consistent with climatological averages, while the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures has not yet translated into elevated overnight lows. Trader focus on the 27°C and 28°C outcomes reflects model consensus on stable steering patterns and modest cloud cover, though any unexpected tropical disturbance or clearer skies could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 17 juillet ?
27°C 34%
24°C 32%
28°C 27%
30°C 25%
22°C ou moins
20%
23°C
1%
24°C
32%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
34%
28°C
27%
29°C
15%
30°C
25%
31°C
14%
32°C ou plus
19%
27°C 34%
24°C 32%
28°C 27%
30°C 25%
22°C ou moins
20%
23°C
1%
24°C
32%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
34%
28°C
27%
29°C
15%
30°C
25%
31°C
14%
32°C ou plus
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 26–28°C for July 17 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Recent daily minima in early July have clustered around 26°C, consistent with climatological averages, while the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures has not yet translated into elevated overnight lows. Trader focus on the 27°C and 28°C outcomes reflects model consensus on stable steering patterns and modest cloud cover, though any unexpected tropical disturbance or clearer skies could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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