Persistent heat from a strong subtropical ridge and southerly Gulf flow is sustaining elevated overnight lows near 80°F across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a Sunday night minimum around 77–81°F for Houston. Model consensus favors limited radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and high humidity, reducing the chance of significant drops below the seasonal average of 78°F, while any increase in clouds or isolated showers could further moderate temperatures. This setup explains the closely matched market-implied odds between extreme low and high outcomes, as traders weigh the ridge’s dominance against minor forecast variations in wind or moisture. Upcoming NWS updates and evening model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Houston le 23 août ?
La température la plus basse à Houston le 23 août ?
71°F ou moins 86%
90°F ou plus 85%
86-87°F 47%
72-73°F 46%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
71°F ou moins
86%
72-73°F
46%
74-75 °F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
25%
84-85 °F
25%
86-87°F
47%
88-89 °F
44%
90°F ou plus
85%
71°F ou moins 86%
90°F ou plus 85%
86-87°F 47%
72-73°F 46%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
71°F ou moins
$5 Vol.
86%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
46%
74-75 °F
$0 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
25%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
29%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
25%
84-85 °F
$0 Vol.
25%
86-87°F
$20 Vol.
47%
88-89 °F
$10 Vol.
44%
90°F ou plus
$45 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat from a strong subtropical ridge and southerly Gulf flow is sustaining elevated overnight lows near 80°F across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a Sunday night minimum around 77–81°F for Houston. Model consensus favors limited radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and high humidity, reducing the chance of significant drops below the seasonal average of 78°F, while any increase in clouds or isolated showers could further moderate temperatures. This setup explains the closely matched market-implied odds between extreme low and high outcomes, as traders weigh the ridge’s dominance against minor forecast variations in wind or moisture. Upcoming NWS updates and evening model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$85Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat from a strong subtropical ridge and southerly Gulf flow is sustaining elevated overnight lows near 80°F across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a Sunday night minimum around 77–81°F for Houston. Model consensus favors limited radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and high humidity, reducing the chance of significant drops below the seasonal average of 78°F, while any increase in clouds or isolated showers could further moderate temperatures. This setup explains the closely matched market-implied odds between extreme low and high outcomes, as traders weigh the ridge’s dominance against minor forecast variations in wind or moisture. Upcoming NWS updates and evening model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat from a strong subtropical ridge and southerly Gulf flow is sustaining elevated overnight lows near 80°F across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a Sunday night minimum around 77–81°F for Houston. Model consensus favors limited radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and high humidity, reducing the chance of significant drops below the seasonal average of 78°F, while any increase in clouds or isolated showers could further moderate temperatures. This setup explains the closely matched market-implied odds between extreme low and high outcomes, as traders weigh the ridge’s dominance against minor forecast variations in wind or moisture. Upcoming NWS updates and evening model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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