Météo-France's latest forecasts position Paris's lowest temperature on May 14 at around 7°C, driving trader consensus with 54% implied probability on that outcome, as persistent overcast skies, widespread showers (up to 6 mm expected), and northerly winds of 16-48 km/h suppress nighttime radiational cooling in a cool air mass dominating Île-de-France. Morning readings of 7-8°C align with model consensus from ECMWF and AROME runs updated overnight, below the May climatological low of 9°C amid this week's unstable pattern—one of the coldest days so far. Uncertainty persists in exact cloud breaks or shower timing, potentially nudging toward 6°C (20.5%) or 8°C (31%), with official observations from Paris-Montsouris station resolving later today.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 14 mai ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 14 mai ?
8°C 45%
7°C 29%
6°C 14%
5°C 3.4%
1°C ou moins
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
3%
6°C
21%
7°C
54%
8°C
31%
8°C 45%
7°C 29%
6°C 14%
5°C 3.4%
1°C ou moins
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
3%
6°C
21%
7°C
54%
8°C
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo-France's latest forecasts position Paris's lowest temperature on May 14 at around 7°C, driving trader consensus with 54% implied probability on that outcome, as persistent overcast skies, widespread showers (up to 6 mm expected), and northerly winds of 16-48 km/h suppress nighttime radiational cooling in a cool air mass dominating Île-de-France. Morning readings of 7-8°C align with model consensus from ECMWF and AROME runs updated overnight, below the May climatological low of 9°C amid this week's unstable pattern—one of the coldest days so far. Uncertainty persists in exact cloud breaks or shower timing, potentially nudging toward 6°C (20.5%) or 8°C (31%), with official observations from Paris-Montsouris station resolving later today.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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