Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight a developing tropical depression near Hainan that is expected to intensify and track toward the South China coast around August 24–25, introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential rainfall that moderate nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 26°C amid the subtropical monsoon regime, where high moisture content limits temperature drops after sunset. The closely matched market odds for 25–27°C reflect uncertainty in the system’s timing and intensity: stronger onshore flow or heavier showers could enhance evaporative cooling and push the minimum toward 25°C, while clearer breaks or delayed arrival might allow typical radiative losses to support 27°C. Official updates from regional meteorological agencies on steering patterns and model consensus will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shenzhen le 24 août ?
La température la plus basse à Shenzhen le 24 août ?
23°C 83%
27°C 47%
26°C 46%
25°C 41%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
21°C ou moins
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
83%
24°C
11%
25°C
41%
26°C
46%
27°C
47%
28°C
22%
29°C
11%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
5%
23°C 83%
27°C 47%
26°C 46%
25°C 41%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$672 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
83%
24°C
$0 Vol.
11%
25°C
$0 Vol.
41%
26°C
$0 Vol.
46%
27°C
$0 Vol.
47%
28°C
$0 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight a developing tropical depression near Hainan that is expected to intensify and track toward the South China coast around August 24–25, introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential rainfall that moderate nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 26°C amid the subtropical monsoon regime, where high moisture content limits temperature drops after sunset. The closely matched market odds for 25–27°C reflect uncertainty in the system’s timing and intensity: stronger onshore flow or heavier showers could enhance evaporative cooling and push the minimum toward 25°C, while clearer breaks or delayed arrival might allow typical radiative losses to support 27°C. Official updates from regional meteorological agencies on steering patterns and model consensus will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$692Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight a developing tropical depression near Hainan that is expected to intensify and track toward the South China coast around August 24–25, introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential rainfall that moderate nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 26°C amid the subtropical monsoon regime, where high moisture content limits temperature drops after sunset. The closely matched market odds for 25–27°C reflect uncertainty in the system’s timing and intensity: stronger onshore flow or heavier showers could enhance evaporative cooling and push the minimum toward 25°C, while clearer breaks or delayed arrival might allow typical radiative losses to support 27°C. Official updates from regional meteorological agencies on steering patterns and model consensus will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$692Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight a developing tropical depression near Hainan that is expected to intensify and track toward the South China coast around August 24–25, introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential rainfall that moderate nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 26°C amid the subtropical monsoon regime, where high moisture content limits temperature drops after sunset. The closely matched market odds for 25–27°C reflect uncertainty in the system’s timing and intensity: stronger onshore flow or heavier showers could enhance evaporative cooling and push the minimum toward 25°C, while clearer breaks or delayed arrival might allow typical radiative losses to support 27°C. Official updates from regional meteorological agencies on steering patterns and model consensus will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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