**Forecast consensus points to a lowest temperature of 26°C in Tel Aviv on August 23, aligning with the market's leading 51% implied probability.** Multiple models and official guidance, including from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources, indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 25–27°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 5–10 km/h, and high humidity (80–90%) that limits radiative cooling. Current conditions on August 22 show daytime highs near 31–32°C with minimal overnight drop, and sea surface temperatures around 29°C further moderating the diurnal range. This setup favors 26°C as the most probable minimum, with 25°C and 27°C as secondary outcomes reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges. No major atmospheric shifts, such as stronger winds or increased cloud cover, have emerged in recent updates to alter this positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tel Aviv le 23 août ?
26°C 51%
25°C 21%
27°C 20%
24°C 19%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
16%
24°C
19%
25°C
21%
26°C
51%
27°C
20%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
25°C 21%
27°C 20%
24°C 19%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
16%
24°C
19%
25°C
21%
26°C
51%
27°C
20%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a lowest temperature of 26°C in Tel Aviv on August 23, aligning with the market's leading 51% implied probability.** Multiple models and official guidance, including from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources, indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 25–27°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 5–10 km/h, and high humidity (80–90%) that limits radiative cooling. Current conditions on August 22 show daytime highs near 31–32°C with minimal overnight drop, and sea surface temperatures around 29°C further moderating the diurnal range. This setup favors 26°C as the most probable minimum, with 25°C and 27°C as secondary outcomes reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges. No major atmospheric shifts, such as stronger winds or increased cloud cover, have emerged in recent updates to alter this positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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