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Politique·23 Juin Primaires

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Politique·23 Juin Primaires

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

Glenn Ivey 96.9%

Joseph Gomes 17%

Shavonne Hedgepeth 15%

Jonathan White 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Glenn Ivey 96.9%

Joseph Gomes 17%

Shavonne Hedgepeth 15%

Jonathan White 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Glenn Ivey

$356 Vol.

97%

Joseph Gomes

$45 Vol.

17%

Shavonne Hedgepeth

$50 Vol.

15%

Jonathan White

$50 Vol.

15%

Jakeya Johnson

$90 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Glenn Ivey, the incumbent U.S. representative for Maryland’s 4th Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary as the clear frontrunner according to trader consensus. His advantages include strong name recognition from prior victories, including an 84.9% primary share in 2024, established fundraising networks, and endorsements from state leaders such as Governor Wes Moore. The district’s deep Democratic lean makes the primary outcome decisive for the general election. Challengers including Joseph Gomes, Jonathan White, Shavonne Hedgepeth, and Jakeya Johnson remain on the ballot after the February filing deadline, but none have mounted significant threats in recent polling trends or campaign activity. The tight timeline to election day limits opportunities for late shifts in momentum.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$593
Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Glenn Ivey, the incumbent U.S. representative for Maryland’s 4th Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary as the clear frontrunner according to trader consensus. His advantages include strong name recognition from prior victories, including an 84.9% primary share in 2024, established fundraising networks, and endorsements from state leaders such as Governor Wes Moore. The district’s deep Democratic lean makes the primary outcome decisive for the general election. Challengers including Joseph Gomes, Jonathan White, Shavonne Hedgepeth, and Jakeya Johnson remain on the ballot after the February filing deadline, but none have mounted significant threats in recent polling trends or campaign activity. The tight timeline to election day limits opportunities for late shifts in momentum.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$593
Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Glenn Ivey » à 97%, suivi de « Joseph Gomes » à 17%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 97¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 10, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner » est « Glenn Ivey » à 97%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Joseph Gomes » à 17%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.