Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 57.5% implied probability to win the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary on June 23, driven by his name recognition from securing the 2022 GOP nomination as a conservative aligned with former President Trump, positioning him strongly among the low-turnout base expected in this open field. Businessman Ed Hale trails at 34.2% despite recent endorsements from state delegates like Ryan Nawrocki and Kathy Szeliga, plus self-funding advantages, but faces hurdles as a former Democrat lacking Cox's prior statewide exposure. Former Gov. Larry Hogan's January decision not to run sidelined his 3.4% share. No major developments in the past 30 days, including both leaders skipping the late-March debate, have shifted the dynamic ahead of early voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDan Cox 57%
Ed Hale 34.5%
Larry Hogan 3.4%
John Myrick 2.7%
$545,700 Vol.
$545,700 Vol.
Dan Cox
57%
Ed Hale
35%
Larry Hogan
3%
John Myrick
3%
Steve Hershey
2%
Christopher Bouchat
<1%
Carl Brunner
<1%
Kurt Wedekind
<1%
Dan Cox 57%
Ed Hale 34.5%
Larry Hogan 3.4%
John Myrick 2.7%
$545,700 Vol.
$545,700 Vol.
Dan Cox
57%
Ed Hale
35%
Larry Hogan
3%
John Myrick
3%
Steve Hershey
2%
Christopher Bouchat
<1%
Carl Brunner
<1%
Kurt Wedekind
<1%
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 57.5% implied probability to win the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary on June 23, driven by his name recognition from securing the 2022 GOP nomination as a conservative aligned with former President Trump, positioning him strongly among the low-turnout base expected in this open field. Businessman Ed Hale trails at 34.2% despite recent endorsements from state delegates like Ryan Nawrocki and Kathy Szeliga, plus self-funding advantages, but faces hurdles as a former Democrat lacking Cox's prior statewide exposure. Former Gov. Larry Hogan's January decision not to run sidelined his 3.4% share. No major developments in the past 30 days, including both leaders skipping the late-March debate, have shifted the dynamic ahead of early voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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