Reform UK's commanding victory in the May 7, 2026, local elections across 136 English councils—with 1,454 seats gained—has locked in Labour's second-place finish at 1,068 seats, well ahead of Liberal Democrats (844) and Conservatives (801), driving trader consensus to virtual certainty. Labour's historic losses of 1,498 seats stemmed from a national polling collapse to 16-18% in April-May surveys, fueled by backlash against winter fuel payment cuts, early prisoner releases, and persistent immigration concerns that boosted Reform's vote share to 26-27%. All councils have declared results as of mid-May, with post-election vacancies in areas like Bury and Essex to be filled via by-elections; however, Labour's 200-plus seat margin over third place renders upsets highly improbable absent extraordinary recounts or disqualifications.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place
2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place
Reform <1%
$294,194 Vol.
$294,194 Vol.
7 mai 2026
Reform
<1%
Reform <1%
$294,194 Vol.
$294,194 Vol.
7 mai 2026
Reform
$92,011 Vol.
<1%
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Reform UK's commanding victory in the May 7, 2026, local elections across 136 English councils—with 1,454 seats gained—has locked in Labour's second-place finish at 1,068 seats, well ahead of Liberal Democrats (844) and Conservatives (801), driving trader consensus to virtual certainty. Labour's historic losses of 1,498 seats stemmed from a national polling collapse to 16-18% in April-May surveys, fueled by backlash against winter fuel payment cuts, early prisoner releases, and persistent immigration concerns that boosted Reform's vote share to 26-27%. All councils have declared results as of mid-May, with post-election vacancies in areas like Bury and Essex to be filled via by-elections; however, Labour's 200-plus seat margin over third place renders upsets highly improbable absent extraordinary recounts or disqualifications.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Marché ouvert : May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$294,194Date de fin
7 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Contesté
Résultat proposé: No
Contesté
Résultat final: No
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Reform UK's commanding victory in the May 7, 2026, local elections across 136 English councils—with 1,454 seats gained—has locked in Labour's second-place finish at 1,068 seats, well ahead of Liberal Democrats (844) and Conservatives (801), driving trader consensus to virtual certainty. Labour's historic losses of 1,498 seats stemmed from a national polling collapse to 16-18% in April-May surveys, fueled by backlash against winter fuel payment cuts, early prisoner releases, and persistent immigration concerns that boosted Reform's vote share to 26-27%. All councils have declared results as of mid-May, with post-election vacancies in areas like Bury and Essex to be filled via by-elections; however, Labour's 200-plus seat margin over third place renders upsets highly improbable absent extraordinary recounts or disqualifications.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Volume
$294,194Date de fin
7 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Contesté
Résultat proposé: No
Contesté
Résultat final: No
Reform UK's commanding victory in the May 7, 2026, local elections across 136 English councils—with 1,454 seats gained—has locked in Labour's second-place finish at 1,068 seats, well ahead of Liberal Democrats (844) and Conservatives (801), driving trader consensus to virtual certainty. Labour's historic losses of 1,498 seats stemmed from a national polling collapse to 16-18% in April-May surveys, fueled by backlash against winter fuel payment cuts, early prisoner releases, and persistent immigration concerns that boosted Reform's vote share to 26-27%. All councils have declared results as of mid-May, with post-election vacancies in areas like Bury and Essex to be filled via by-elections; however, Labour's 200-plus seat margin over third place renders upsets highly improbable absent extraordinary recounts or disqualifications.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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