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icon for Prochain modèle Google Gemini Pro publié le... ?
Tech·AI

Prochain modèle Google Gemini Pro publié le... ?

icon for Prochain modèle Google Gemini Pro publié le... ?
Tech·AI

Prochain modèle Google Gemini Pro publié le... ?

août 31

août 31

No release by August 31 85.5%

August 31 3.9%

August 26 3.5%

August 27 3.0%

Polymarket

$265,758 Vol.

No release by August 31 85.5%

August 31 3.9%

August 26 3.5%

August 27 3.0%

Polymarket

$265,758 Vol.

August 16

$2,611 Vol.

<1%

August 17

$3,756 Vol.

1%

August 18

$3,980 Vol.

1%

August 19

$3,146 Vol.

1%

August 20

$2,786 Vol.

1%

August 21

$2,259 Vol.

1%

August 22

$2,686 Vol.

<1%

August 23

$1,954 Vol.

1%

August 24

$4,463 Vol.

1%

August 25

$5,389 Vol.

1%

August 26

$4,370 Vol.

4%

August 27

$8,567 Vol.

3%

August 28

$4,001 Vol.

1%

August 29

$4,785 Vol.

<1%

August 30

$2,318 Vol.

1%

August 31

$7,638 Vol.

4%

No release by August 31

$49,470 Vol.

86%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent delays and the absence of confirmed Pro timelines drive the strong market consensus (84.9% on no release by August 31).** Google has repeatedly missed internal targets for its flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model, originally slated for June 2026 at I/O and then shifted to July. As of mid-August 2026, it remains unreleased in the public Gemini API or app, with earlier reporting citing shortfalls against performance goals and limited partner testing only. Instead, Google has shipped iterative Flash variants—Gemini 3.6 Flash on July 21 and Gemini 3.7 Flash on August 13—optimized for speed, coding, and agents, reflecting a pattern of prioritizing accessible models over the higher-capability Pro release. This history of slippage, combined with no official announcement or API listing for a new Pro model in the final two weeks of August, underpins trader pricing. The market treats any qualifying “Pro” variant (such as 3.5 Pro or a successor) as the resolution trigger, but the lack of recent credible signals keeps implied odds for an August drop below 15% cumulatively. Upcoming developer conferences or earnings commentary could still shift sentiment if new details emerge, though historical precedent suggests caution on tight timelines.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$265,758
Date de fin
31 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent delays and the absence of confirmed Pro timelines drive the strong market consensus (84.9% on no release by August 31).** Google has repeatedly missed internal targets for its flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model, originally slated for June 2026 at I/O and then shifted to July. As of mid-August 2026, it remains unreleased in the public Gemini API or app, with earlier reporting citing shortfalls against performance goals and limited partner testing only. Instead, Google has shipped iterative Flash variants—Gemini 3.6 Flash on July 21 and Gemini 3.7 Flash on August 13—optimized for speed, coding, and agents, reflecting a pattern of prioritizing accessible models over the higher-capability Pro release. This history of slippage, combined with no official announcement or API listing for a new Pro model in the final two weeks of August, underpins trader pricing. The market treats any qualifying “Pro” variant (such as 3.5 Pro or a successor) as the resolution trigger, but the lack of recent credible signals keeps implied odds for an August drop below 15% cumulatively. Upcoming developer conferences or earnings commentary could still shift sentiment if new details emerge, though historical precedent suggests caution on tight timelines.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$265,758
Date de fin
31 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Connexes

icon for Le prochain modèle Google Gemini Pro sera-t-il lancé d'ici le 31 août 2026 ?

Le prochain modèle Google Gemini Pro sera-t-il lancé d'ici le 31 août 2026 ?

14%
Oui
icon for Prochain modèle Google Gemini Flash-Lite (3.6+) publié d'ici le 30 novembre 2026 ?

Prochain modèle Google Gemini Flash-Lite (3.6+) publié d'ici le 30 novembre 2026 ?

75%
Oui
icon for Gemini 4.0 publié d'ici le 30 septembre 2026 ?

Gemini 4.0 publié d'ici le 30 septembre 2026 ?

21%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Prochain modèle Google Gemini Pro publié le... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 32 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « No release by August 31 » à 86%, suivi de « August 26 » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 86¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 86% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochain modèle Google Gemini Pro publié le... ? » a généré $265.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 29, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochain modèle Google Gemini Pro publié le... ? », parcourez les 32 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochain modèle Google Gemini Pro publié le... ? » est « No release by August 31 » à 86%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 86% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « August 26 » à 4%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochain modèle Google Gemini Pro publié le... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.