Google's May 2026 I/O conference served as the key catalyst, with CEO Sundar Pichai confirming the Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model rollout for June following the immediate launch of 3.5 Flash. This continues the rapid iteration from Gemini 3.1 Pro in February and the initial 3 series in late 2025, emphasizing improved reasoning, agentic capabilities, and benchmark gains in complex tasks. Traders weigh this against competitive pressure from other labs and historical patterns of preview-to-general availability timelines, with attention now on any June API updates, Vertex AI expansions, or consumer app integrations that could resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$59,589 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
12 juin
<1%
19 juin
14%
26 juin
58%
30 juin
87%
31 juillet
97%
$59,589 Vol.
12 juin
$16,109 Vol.
<1%
19 juin
$9,550 Vol.
14%
26 juin
$9,092 Vol.
58%
30 juin
$16,814 Vol.
87%
31 juillet
$5,561 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 2026 I/O conference served as the key catalyst, with CEO Sundar Pichai confirming the Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model rollout for June following the immediate launch of 3.5 Flash. This continues the rapid iteration from Gemini 3.1 Pro in February and the initial 3 series in late 2025, emphasizing improved reasoning, agentic capabilities, and benchmark gains in complex tasks. Traders weigh this against competitive pressure from other labs and historical patterns of preview-to-general availability timelines, with attention now on any June API updates, Vertex AI expansions, or consumer app integrations that could resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
Volume
$59,589Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 2026 I/O conference served as the key catalyst, with CEO Sundar Pichai confirming the Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model rollout for June following the immediate launch of 3.5 Flash. This continues the rapid iteration from Gemini 3.1 Pro in February and the initial 3 series in late 2025, emphasizing improved reasoning, agentic capabilities, and benchmark gains in complex tasks. Traders weigh this against competitive pressure from other labs and historical patterns of preview-to-general availability timelines, with attention now on any June API updates, Vertex AI expansions, or consumer app integrations that could resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$59,589Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's May 2026 I/O conference served as the key catalyst, with CEO Sundar Pichai confirming the Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model rollout for June following the immediate launch of 3.5 Flash. This continues the rapid iteration from Gemini 3.1 Pro in February and the initial 3 series in late 2025, emphasizing improved reasoning, agentic capabilities, and benchmark gains in complex tasks. Traders weigh this against competitive pressure from other labs and historical patterns of preview-to-general availability timelines, with attention now on any June API updates, Vertex AI expansions, or consumer app integrations that could resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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