OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has driven the near-certain market consensus for its image-editing leadership by month-end. The update delivers up to 50 percent lower latency, sharper detail with natural lighting and textures, stronger subject preservation from reference images, and markedly more reliable multi-turn edits that change only the requested elements while holding backgrounds, lighting, and complex scenes stable. New tools such as Sketch, direct markup, and comment-based guidance further enhance precise control. These capabilities quickly placed OpenAI’s GPT-Image-2.5 variants at the top of arena.ai editing leaderboards, aligning with the 97.9 percent implied probability. A late-September competitor release or benchmark shift could still alter the final ranking before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOpenAI 97.9%
Google 2.4%
SpaceXAI <1%
IA de Microsoft <1%
$25,903 Vol.
$25,903 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
OpenAI
98%
2%
SpaceXAI
<1%
IA de Microsoft
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Reve
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Black Forest Labs
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Pruna
<1%
StepFun
<1%
OpenAI 97.9%
Google 2.4%
SpaceXAI <1%
IA de Microsoft <1%
$25,903 Vol.
$25,903 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
OpenAI
$11,181 Vol.
98%
$9,096 Vol.
2%
SpaceXAI
$568 Vol.
<1%
IA de Microsoft
$558 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$532 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$419 Vol.
<1%
Reve
$439 Vol.
<1%
Luma AI
$354 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$439 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$478 Vol.
<1%
Black Forest Labs
$545 Vol.
<1%
KlingAI
$374 Vol.
<1%
Pruna
$530 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$389 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has driven the near-certain market consensus for its image-editing leadership by month-end. The update delivers up to 50 percent lower latency, sharper detail with natural lighting and textures, stronger subject preservation from reference images, and markedly more reliable multi-turn edits that change only the requested elements while holding backgrounds, lighting, and complex scenes stable. New tools such as Sketch, direct markup, and comment-based guidance further enhance precise control. These capabilities quickly placed OpenAI’s GPT-Image-2.5 variants at the top of arena.ai editing leaderboards, aligning with the 97.9 percent implied probability. A late-September competitor release or benchmark shift could still alter the final ranking before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
Volume
$25,903Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has driven the near-certain market consensus for its image-editing leadership by month-end. The update delivers up to 50 percent lower latency, sharper detail with natural lighting and textures, stronger subject preservation from reference images, and markedly more reliable multi-turn edits that change only the requested elements while holding backgrounds, lighting, and complex scenes stable. New tools such as Sketch, direct markup, and comment-based guidance further enhance precise control. These capabilities quickly placed OpenAI’s GPT-Image-2.5 variants at the top of arena.ai editing leaderboards, aligning with the 97.9 percent implied probability. A late-September competitor release or benchmark shift could still alter the final ranking before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$25,903Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has driven the near-certain market consensus for its image-editing leadership by month-end. The update delivers up to 50 percent lower latency, sharper detail with natural lighting and textures, stronger subject preservation from reference images, and markedly more reliable multi-turn edits that change only the requested elements while holding backgrounds, lighting, and complex scenes stable. New tools such as Sketch, direct markup, and comment-based guidance further enhance precise control. These capabilities quickly placed OpenAI’s GPT-Image-2.5 variants at the top of arena.ai editing leaderboards, aligning with the 97.9 percent implied probability. A late-September competitor release or benchmark shift could still alter the final ranking before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes