Anthropic’s rapid iteration in its Claude 5 family, including the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, has fueled trader expectations for another Opus update soon. Unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 routing tests and internal slugs point to a possible mid-to-late September rollout, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 22 and high probability of resolution within a week. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s expected GPT updates and Google’s Gemini timeline adds urgency, while Anthropic’s focus on agentic coding, adaptive thinking, and efficiency gains at stable $5/$25 pricing supports continued momentum. Key near-term catalysts include any official system card, API identifier, or blog post confirming the next flagship Opus variant.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$125,829 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
30 septembre
81%
17 septembre
14%
20 septembre
27%
24 septembre
68%
27 septembre
63%
31 octobre
98%
31 décembre
98%
$125,829 Vol.
30 septembre
$61,465 Vol.
81%
17 septembre
$2,680 Vol.
14%
20 septembre
$909 Vol.
27%
24 septembre
$506 Vol.
68%
27 septembre
$106 Vol.
63%
31 octobre
$13,502 Vol.
98%
31 décembre
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration in its Claude 5 family, including the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, has fueled trader expectations for another Opus update soon. Unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 routing tests and internal slugs point to a possible mid-to-late September rollout, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 22 and high probability of resolution within a week. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s expected GPT updates and Google’s Gemini timeline adds urgency, while Anthropic’s focus on agentic coding, adaptive thinking, and efficiency gains at stable $5/$25 pricing supports continued momentum. Key near-term catalysts include any official system card, API identifier, or blog post confirming the next flagship Opus variant.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$125,829Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration in its Claude 5 family, including the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, has fueled trader expectations for another Opus update soon. Unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 routing tests and internal slugs point to a possible mid-to-late September rollout, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 22 and high probability of resolution within a week. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s expected GPT updates and Google’s Gemini timeline adds urgency, while Anthropic’s focus on agentic coding, adaptive thinking, and efficiency gains at stable $5/$25 pricing supports continued momentum. Key near-term catalysts include any official system card, API identifier, or blog post confirming the next flagship Opus variant.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$125,829Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid iteration in its Claude 5 family, including the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, has fueled trader expectations for another Opus update soon. Unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 routing tests and internal slugs point to a possible mid-to-late September rollout, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 22 and high probability of resolution within a week. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s expected GPT updates and Google’s Gemini timeline adds urgency, while Anthropic’s focus on agentic coding, adaptive thinking, and efficiency gains at stable $5/$25 pricing supports continued momentum. Key near-term catalysts include any official system card, API identifier, or blog post confirming the next flagship Opus variant.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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