Waymo’s recent September 2026 launches in Denver, San Diego, Tampa, and Las Vegas have expanded its fully driverless robotaxi operations to 15 U.S. cities, supported by a 4,000-plus vehicle fleet and weekly paid rides exceeding 500,000. This pace of geographic growth, enabled by regulatory approvals such as California’s expansion across 18 counties and Nevada permits, underpins trader consensus around the 12–15 range while the strong <12 probability reflects the company’s current emphasis on scaling service areas, integrating next-generation Ojai vehicles, and hitting its 1 million weekly rides target rather than adding many new markets before year-end. Planned entries in cities like Washington D.C. or Detroit remain in testing phases, and international efforts in London or Tokyo extend beyond December 31, limiting upside catalysts in the remaining months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour<12 61.7%
12-15 31.1%
16-19 7%
24-27 <1%
$124,859 Vol.
$124,859 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
<12
62%
12-15
31%
16-19
7%
20-23
<1%
24-27
<1%
28-31
<1%
32+
<1%
<12 61.7%
12-15 31.1%
16-19 7%
24-27 <1%
$124,859 Vol.
$124,859 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
<12
$17,334 Vol.
62%
12-15
$40,111 Vol.
31%
16-19
$24,998 Vol.
7%
20-23
$16,708 Vol.
<1%
24-27
$14,029 Vol.
<1%
28-31
$6,481 Vol.
<1%
32+
$5,199 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s recent September 2026 launches in Denver, San Diego, Tampa, and Las Vegas have expanded its fully driverless robotaxi operations to 15 U.S. cities, supported by a 4,000-plus vehicle fleet and weekly paid rides exceeding 500,000. This pace of geographic growth, enabled by regulatory approvals such as California’s expansion across 18 counties and Nevada permits, underpins trader consensus around the 12–15 range while the strong <12 probability reflects the company’s current emphasis on scaling service areas, integrating next-generation Ojai vehicles, and hitting its 1 million weekly rides target rather than adding many new markets before year-end. Planned entries in cities like Washington D.C. or Detroit remain in testing phases, and international efforts in London or Tokyo extend beyond December 31, limiting upside catalysts in the remaining months.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$124,859Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s recent September 2026 launches in Denver, San Diego, Tampa, and Las Vegas have expanded its fully driverless robotaxi operations to 15 U.S. cities, supported by a 4,000-plus vehicle fleet and weekly paid rides exceeding 500,000. This pace of geographic growth, enabled by regulatory approvals such as California’s expansion across 18 counties and Nevada permits, underpins trader consensus around the 12–15 range while the strong <12 probability reflects the company’s current emphasis on scaling service areas, integrating next-generation Ojai vehicles, and hitting its 1 million weekly rides target rather than adding many new markets before year-end. Planned entries in cities like Washington D.C. or Detroit remain in testing phases, and international efforts in London or Tokyo extend beyond December 31, limiting upside catalysts in the remaining months.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$124,859Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Waymo’s recent September 2026 launches in Denver, San Diego, Tampa, and Las Vegas have expanded its fully driverless robotaxi operations to 15 U.S. cities, supported by a 4,000-plus vehicle fleet and weekly paid rides exceeding 500,000. This pace of geographic growth, enabled by regulatory approvals such as California’s expansion across 18 counties and Nevada permits, underpins trader consensus around the 12–15 range while the strong <12 probability reflects the company’s current emphasis on scaling service areas, integrating next-generation Ojai vehicles, and hitting its 1 million weekly rides target rather than adding many new markets before year-end. Planned entries in cities like Washington D.C. or Detroit remain in testing phases, and international efforts in London or Tokyo extend beyond December 31, limiting upside catalysts in the remaining months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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