Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability against Tesla opening orders for the Robovan before 2027, reflecting the vehicle's status as a conceptual autonomous van unveiled at the 2024 We, Robot event with no subsequent production timeline, supplier commitments, or order announcements from Tesla. Recent focus has centered on Cybercab robotaxi production ramping at Giga Texas since April 2026 and supervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) expansions, amid ongoing regulatory hurdles for fully driverless vehicles lacking steering wheels. Elon Musk's hint four days ago at a configurable cargo/passenger Robovan variant sparked minor buzz but failed to alter sentiment, given Tesla's history of delayed autonomous milestones. Watch Q2 earnings for potential catalysts, though significant barriers like NHTSA approvals persist.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$31,485 Vol.
$31,485 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$31,485 Vol.
$31,485 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability against Tesla opening orders for the Robovan before 2027, reflecting the vehicle's status as a conceptual autonomous van unveiled at the 2024 We, Robot event with no subsequent production timeline, supplier commitments, or order announcements from Tesla. Recent focus has centered on Cybercab robotaxi production ramping at Giga Texas since April 2026 and supervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) expansions, amid ongoing regulatory hurdles for fully driverless vehicles lacking steering wheels. Elon Musk's hint four days ago at a configurable cargo/passenger Robovan variant sparked minor buzz but failed to alter sentiment, given Tesla's history of delayed autonomous milestones. Watch Q2 earnings for potential catalysts, though significant barriers like NHTSA approvals persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Dec 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
Volume
$31,485Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability against Tesla opening orders for the Robovan before 2027, reflecting the vehicle's status as a conceptual autonomous van unveiled at the 2024 We, Robot event with no subsequent production timeline, supplier commitments, or order announcements from Tesla. Recent focus has centered on Cybercab robotaxi production ramping at Giga Texas since April 2026 and supervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) expansions, amid ongoing regulatory hurdles for fully driverless vehicles lacking steering wheels. Elon Musk's hint four days ago at a configurable cargo/passenger Robovan variant sparked minor buzz but failed to alter sentiment, given Tesla's history of delayed autonomous milestones. Watch Q2 earnings for potential catalysts, though significant barriers like NHTSA approvals persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$31,485Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability against Tesla opening orders for the Robovan before 2027, reflecting the vehicle's status as a conceptual autonomous van unveiled at the 2024 We, Robot event with no subsequent production timeline, supplier commitments, or order announcements from Tesla. Recent focus has centered on Cybercab robotaxi production ramping at Giga Texas since April 2026 and supervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) expansions, amid ongoing regulatory hurdles for fully driverless vehicles lacking steering wheels. Elon Musk's hint four days ago at a configurable cargo/passenger Robovan variant sparked minor buzz but failed to alter sentiment, given Tesla's history of delayed autonomous milestones. Watch Q2 earnings for potential catalysts, though significant barriers like NHTSA approvals persist.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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