Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at a Brooklyn detention center since his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas. He and his wife Cilia Flores face superseding federal charges of narco-terrorism, narcotics trafficking, and weapons offenses in the Southern District of New York, with both entering not guilty pleas at an initial hearing. Ongoing court proceedings, including motions on defense access and potential dismissal arguments tied to the circumstances of the seizure, continue to shape outcomes, while Venezuela’s interim leadership and allies such as China have issued formal demands for immediate release. Traders are monitoring upcoming hearings, any diplomatic channels between Washington and Caracas, and precedent from prior high-profile extraditions as key variables that could determine if or when custody ends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$2,631,348 Vol.
31 décembre
14%
$2,631,348 Vol.
31 décembre
14%
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at a Brooklyn detention center since his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas. He and his wife Cilia Flores face superseding federal charges of narco-terrorism, narcotics trafficking, and weapons offenses in the Southern District of New York, with both entering not guilty pleas at an initial hearing. Ongoing court proceedings, including motions on defense access and potential dismissal arguments tied to the circumstances of the seizure, continue to shape outcomes, while Venezuela’s interim leadership and allies such as China have issued formal demands for immediate release. Traders are monitoring upcoming hearings, any diplomatic channels between Washington and Caracas, and precedent from prior high-profile extraditions as key variables that could determine if or when custody ends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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