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icon for Venezuela leader de facto fin 2026 ?

Venezuela leader de facto fin 2026 ?

icon for Venezuela leader de facto fin 2026 ?

Venezuela leader de facto fin 2026 ?

Delcy Rodríguez 95%

María Corina Machado 4.0%

Marco Rubio <1%

Aucun chef d'État <1%

Polymarket

$393,169 Vol.

Delcy Rodríguez 95%

María Corina Machado 4.0%

Marco Rubio <1%

Aucun chef d'État <1%

Polymarket

$393,169 Vol.

Delcy Rodríguez

$106,583 Vol.

95%

María Corina Machado

$53,452 Vol.

4%

Marco Rubio

$6,523 Vol.

1%

Aucun chef d'État

$67,154 Vol.

1%

Dinorah Figuera

$4,581 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Rodríguez

$8,389 Vol.

<1%

Edmundo González

$4,123 Vol.

<1%

Dan Caine

$3,349 Vol.

<1%

Frank Donovan

$42,216 Vol.

<1%

Nicolás Maduro

$4,407 Vol.

<1%

Diosdado Cabello Rondón

$3,574 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$2,926 Vol.

<1%

Vladimir Padrino López

$68,170 Vol.

<1%

Evan Pettus

$7,309 Vol.

<1%

Pete Hegseth

$3,037 Vol.

<1%

Richard Grenell

$7,378 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds overwhelming trader consensus as Venezuela’s de facto leader through the end of 2026 because she assumed the interim presidency in January following Nicolás Maduro’s capture in a U.S. military operation, with the Supreme Tribunal ordering her to exercise presidential powers for administrative continuity. She has since secured U.S. diplomatic recognition, sanctions relief, and engagement in ongoing government-opposition talks on judicial reform and earthquake recovery, while retaining control of the National Assembly through her brother Jorge Rodríguez and key security institutions. No presidential election has been scheduled, and the constitutional timeline for declaring a permanent vacancy remains untriggered. Potential shifts could arise from accelerated U.S. pressure for multiparty elections, internal Chavista realignments, or major reversals in Washington’s engagement policy before year-end.

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.

Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.

If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.

If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.

Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.

Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Volume
$393,169
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds overwhelming trader consensus as Venezuela’s de facto leader through the end of 2026 because she assumed the interim presidency in January following Nicolás Maduro’s capture in a U.S. military operation, with the Supreme Tribunal ordering her to exercise presidential powers for administrative continuity. She has since secured U.S. diplomatic recognition, sanctions relief, and engagement in ongoing government-opposition talks on judicial reform and earthquake recovery, while retaining control of the National Assembly through her brother Jorge Rodríguez and key security institutions. No presidential election has been scheduled, and the constitutional timeline for declaring a permanent vacancy remains untriggered. Potential shifts could arise from accelerated U.S. pressure for multiparty elections, internal Chavista realignments, or major reversals in Washington’s engagement policy before year-end.

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.

Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.

If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.

If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.

Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.

Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Volume
$393,169
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

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Questions fréquentes

« Venezuela leader de facto fin 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 16 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Delcy Rodríguez » à 95%, suivi de « María Corina Machado » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 95¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Venezuela leader de facto fin 2026 ? » a généré $393.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 4, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Venezuela leader de facto fin 2026 ? », parcourez les 16 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Venezuela leader de facto fin 2026 ? » est « Delcy Rodríguez » à 95%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « María Corina Machado » à 4%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Venezuela leader de facto fin 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.