Delcy Rodríguez holds overwhelming trader consensus as Venezuela’s de facto leader through the end of 2026 because she assumed the interim presidency in January following Nicolás Maduro’s capture in a U.S. military operation, with the Supreme Tribunal ordering her to exercise presidential powers for administrative continuity. She has since secured U.S. diplomatic recognition, sanctions relief, and engagement in ongoing government-opposition talks on judicial reform and earthquake recovery, while retaining control of the National Assembly through her brother Jorge Rodríguez and key security institutions. No presidential election has been scheduled, and the constitutional timeline for declaring a permanent vacancy remains untriggered. Potential shifts could arise from accelerated U.S. pressure for multiparty elections, internal Chavista realignments, or major reversals in Washington’s engagement policy before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDelcy Rodríguez 95%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Marco Rubio <1%
Aucun chef d'État <1%
$393,169 Vol.
$393,169 Vol.
Delcy Rodríguez
95%
María Corina Machado
4%
Marco Rubio
1%
Aucun chef d'État
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 95%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Marco Rubio <1%
Aucun chef d'État <1%
$393,169 Vol.
$393,169 Vol.
Delcy Rodríguez
95%
María Corina Machado
4%
Marco Rubio
1%
Aucun chef d'État
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Marché ouvert : May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds overwhelming trader consensus as Venezuela’s de facto leader through the end of 2026 because she assumed the interim presidency in January following Nicolás Maduro’s capture in a U.S. military operation, with the Supreme Tribunal ordering her to exercise presidential powers for administrative continuity. She has since secured U.S. diplomatic recognition, sanctions relief, and engagement in ongoing government-opposition talks on judicial reform and earthquake recovery, while retaining control of the National Assembly through her brother Jorge Rodríguez and key security institutions. No presidential election has been scheduled, and the constitutional timeline for declaring a permanent vacancy remains untriggered. Potential shifts could arise from accelerated U.S. pressure for multiparty elections, internal Chavista realignments, or major reversals in Washington’s engagement policy before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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