Vivek Ramaswamy's commanding 64-point margin of victory in Ohio's May 5 Republican gubernatorial primary—capturing 82% of the vote to Casey Putsch's 18%—has locked in trader consensus at near-certainty for the 60-70% outcome, reflecting certified results showing him sweeping every county. Trump endorsement, nearly $40 million in self-funding, and strong GOP base turnout amid a lightly contested field drove the blowout, underscoring skin-in-the-game bets on final tallies. While resolution awaits official certification, realistic challenges like a recount or fraud allegations appear remote absent evidence, with no disputes surfacing in the past week.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPrimaire républicaine du gouverneur de l'Ohio : Marge de victoire
Primaire républicaine du gouverneur de l'Ohio : Marge de victoire
Ramaswamy 60-70 % 99.6%
Ramaswamy 70 %+ <1%
Ramaswamy 50-60 % <1%
Ramaswamy <30 % <1%
$65,049 Vol.
$65,049 Vol.
Ramaswamy <30 %
<1%
Ramaswamy 30-40 %
<1%
Ramaswamy 40-50 %
<1%
Ramaswamy 50-60 %
<1%
Ramaswamy 60-70 %
100%
Ramaswamy 70 %+
1%
Autre
<1%
Ramaswamy 60-70 % 99.6%
Ramaswamy 70 %+ <1%
Ramaswamy 50-60 % <1%
Ramaswamy <30 % <1%
$65,049 Vol.
$65,049 Vol.
Ramaswamy <30 %
<1%
Ramaswamy 30-40 %
<1%
Ramaswamy 40-50 %
<1%
Ramaswamy 50-60 %
<1%
Ramaswamy 60-70 %
100%
Ramaswamy 70 %+
1%
Autre
<1%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Marché ouvert : May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vivek Ramaswamy's commanding 64-point margin of victory in Ohio's May 5 Republican gubernatorial primary—capturing 82% of the vote to Casey Putsch's 18%—has locked in trader consensus at near-certainty for the 60-70% outcome, reflecting certified results showing him sweeping every county. Trump endorsement, nearly $40 million in self-funding, and strong GOP base turnout amid a lightly contested field drove the blowout, underscoring skin-in-the-game bets on final tallies. While resolution awaits official certification, realistic challenges like a recount or fraud allegations appear remote absent evidence, with no disputes surfacing in the past week.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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