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Économie·Afrique Du Sud

Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ?

icon for Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ?
Économie·Afrique Du Sud

Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ?

mai 28

mai 28

Augmentation 86.9%

Aucun changement 11%

Baisse 1.4%

Polymarket

$10,537 Vol.

Augmentation 86.9%

Aucun changement 11%

Baisse 1.4%

Polymarket

$10,537 Vol.

Baisse

$2,145 Vol.

1%

Aucun changement

$3,955 Vol.

11%

Augmentation

$4,436 Vol.

87%

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent upside risks to South Africa’s inflation outlook, driven by elevated global energy prices from the Middle East conflict that began in February 2026, have shifted trader expectations toward a 25-basis-point hike in the South African Reserve Bank’s policy rate at the May 28 meeting. Headline inflation, which stood at 3.0% in February, is now projected to rise toward 4% in the second quarter as fuel costs exceed 18%, prompting analysts at Goldman Sachs and BNP Paribas to revise their forecasts upward. Forward-rate agreements currently price in this tightening, consistent with the 86.9% implied probability for an increase, while the MPC’s March statement signaled a more restrictive stance and delayed earlier cut expectations. The outcome remains data-dependent, with evidence of second-round effects in core inflation serving as the primary swing factor.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$10,537
Date de fin
28 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent upside risks to South Africa’s inflation outlook, driven by elevated global energy prices from the Middle East conflict that began in February 2026, have shifted trader expectations toward a 25-basis-point hike in the South African Reserve Bank’s policy rate at the May 28 meeting. Headline inflation, which stood at 3.0% in February, is now projected to rise toward 4% in the second quarter as fuel costs exceed 18%, prompting analysts at Goldman Sachs and BNP Paribas to revise their forecasts upward. Forward-rate agreements currently price in this tightening, consistent with the 86.9% implied probability for an increase, while the MPC’s March statement signaled a more restrictive stance and delayed earlier cut expectations. The outcome remains data-dependent, with evidence of second-round effects in core inflation serving as the primary swing factor.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$10,537
Date de fin
28 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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Questions fréquentes

« Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Augmentation » à 87%, suivi de « Aucun changement » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 87¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ? » a généré $10.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 31, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ? » est « Augmentation » à 87%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Aucun changement » à 11%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.