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Économie·Afrique Du Sud

Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ?

icon for Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ?
Économie·Afrique Du Sud

Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ?

mai 28

mai 28

Augmentation 87.2%

Aucun changement 11%

Baisse 1.7%

Polymarket

$10,584 Vol.

Augmentation 87.2%

Aucun changement 11%

Baisse 1.7%

Polymarket

$10,584 Vol.

Baisse

$2,146 Vol.

2%

Aucun changement

$3,994 Vol.

11%

Augmentation

$4,444 Vol.

87%

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The South African Reserve Bank’s upcoming Monetary Policy Committee decision is being driven primarily by upside risks to the inflation outlook stemming from elevated global oil prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. Headline inflation has recently aligned with the 3% target but is projected to rise toward 4% in the near term, prompting the SARB to revise its 2026 forecast higher and signal readiness to act if second-round effects emerge. With the repo rate held at 6.75% since early 2026, market-implied forward rates and analyst revisions now favor a modest 25-basis-point tightening to maintain a moderately restrictive stance. Traders are pricing in this path given the bank’s emphasis on scenario analysis and data-dependent flexibility ahead of the May 28 meeting, where incoming price and labor data will determine whether policy remains on hold or shifts higher.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$10,584
Date de fin
28 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The South African Reserve Bank’s upcoming Monetary Policy Committee decision is being driven primarily by upside risks to the inflation outlook stemming from elevated global oil prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. Headline inflation has recently aligned with the 3% target but is projected to rise toward 4% in the near term, prompting the SARB to revise its 2026 forecast higher and signal readiness to act if second-round effects emerge. With the repo rate held at 6.75% since early 2026, market-implied forward rates and analyst revisions now favor a modest 25-basis-point tightening to maintain a moderately restrictive stance. Traders are pricing in this path given the bank’s emphasis on scenario analysis and data-dependent flexibility ahead of the May 28 meeting, where incoming price and labor data will determine whether policy remains on hold or shifts higher.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$10,584
Date de fin
28 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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Questions fréquentes

« Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Augmentation » à 87%, suivi de « Aucun changement » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 87¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ? » a généré $10.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 31, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ? » est « Augmentation » à 87%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Aucun changement » à 11%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.