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Économie·Afrique Du Sud

Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ?

icon for Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ?
Économie·Afrique Du Sud

Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ?

mai 28

mai 28

Augmentation 87.2%

Aucun changement 11%

Baisse 1.7%

Polymarket

$10,545 Vol.

Augmentation 87.2%

Aucun changement 11%

Baisse 1.7%

Polymarket

$10,545 Vol.

Baisse

$2,146 Vol.

2%

Aucun changement

$3,955 Vol.

11%

Augmentation

$4,444 Vol.

87%

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent developments in South African inflation and global energy markets have driven the 87.2% implied probability of a repo-rate increase at the South African Reserve Bank’s May 28 Monetary Policy Committee meeting. Elevated fuel prices stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions have prompted upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts, with headline CPI expected to approach 4% in the second quarter before easing toward the 3% target. Forward-rate agreements now price in a 25-basis-point hike from the current 6.75% level, aligning with revised outlooks from Goldman Sachs and BNP Paribas that embed two such increases this year. April CPI data and ongoing volatility in oil markets remain key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or moderate this hawkish repricing, while the 10.5% probability of no change reflects lingering uncertainty around the persistence of these supply-side shocks.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$10,545
Date de fin
28 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent developments in South African inflation and global energy markets have driven the 87.2% implied probability of a repo-rate increase at the South African Reserve Bank’s May 28 Monetary Policy Committee meeting. Elevated fuel prices stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions have prompted upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts, with headline CPI expected to approach 4% in the second quarter before easing toward the 3% target. Forward-rate agreements now price in a 25-basis-point hike from the current 6.75% level, aligning with revised outlooks from Goldman Sachs and BNP Paribas that embed two such increases this year. April CPI data and ongoing volatility in oil markets remain key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or moderate this hawkish repricing, while the 10.5% probability of no change reflects lingering uncertainty around the persistence of these supply-side shocks.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$10,545
Date de fin
28 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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Questions fréquentes

« Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Augmentation » à 87%, suivi de « Aucun changement » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 87¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ? » a généré $10.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 31, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ? » est « Augmentation » à 87%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Aucun changement » à 11%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Décision de la Banque de réserve sud-africaine en mai ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.