SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed at $152.71 on September 18 amid elevated volatility following its June IPO at $135 and subsequent peak near $226. The primary near-term catalyst is the September 21 Nasdaq-100 rebalancing, which is expected to lift the stock’s weighting and trigger roughly $15.5 billion in passive inflows as free float expands post-lockup. Offsetting factors include continued retail net selling of approximately $570 million over recent weeks, a six-day delay of the next Starship orbital test to as early as September 28, and a fresh $946 million NASA contract that supports the core launch business but does little to address the elevated valuation of roughly 70 times trailing revenue. Analyst consensus targets average near $222, though the market prices in substantial execution risk around AI infrastructure spend and Starlink scaling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
120 $
90%
125 $
90%
130 $
90%
135 $
95%
140 $
92%
145 $
81%
150 $
62%
155 $
39%
160 $
20%
165 $
10%
170 $
7%
175 $
11%
180 $
20%
$0.00 Vol.
120 $
$0 Vol.
90%
125 $
$0 Vol.
90%
130 $
$0 Vol.
90%
135 $
$0 Vol.
95%
140 $
$0 Vol.
92%
145 $
$0 Vol.
81%
150 $
$0 Vol.
62%
155 $
$0 Vol.
39%
160 $
$0 Vol.
20%
165 $
$0 Vol.
10%
170 $
$0 Vol.
7%
175 $
$0 Vol.
11%
180 $
$0 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed at $152.71 on September 18 amid elevated volatility following its June IPO at $135 and subsequent peak near $226. The primary near-term catalyst is the September 21 Nasdaq-100 rebalancing, which is expected to lift the stock’s weighting and trigger roughly $15.5 billion in passive inflows as free float expands post-lockup. Offsetting factors include continued retail net selling of approximately $570 million over recent weeks, a six-day delay of the next Starship orbital test to as early as September 28, and a fresh $946 million NASA contract that supports the core launch business but does little to address the elevated valuation of roughly 70 times trailing revenue. Analyst consensus targets average near $222, though the market prices in substantial execution risk around AI infrastructure spend and Starlink scaling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ETSource de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed at $152.71 on September 18 amid elevated volatility following its June IPO at $135 and subsequent peak near $226. The primary near-term catalyst is the September 21 Nasdaq-100 rebalancing, which is expected to lift the stock’s weighting and trigger roughly $15.5 billion in passive inflows as free float expands post-lockup. Offsetting factors include continued retail net selling of approximately $570 million over recent weeks, a six-day delay of the next Starship orbital test to as early as September 28, and a fresh $946 million NASA contract that supports the core launch business but does little to address the elevated valuation of roughly 70 times trailing revenue. Analyst consensus targets average near $222, though the market prices in substantial execution risk around AI infrastructure spend and Starlink scaling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Volume
$0Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ETSource de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDRésolveur
0x65070BE91...SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed at $152.71 on September 18 amid elevated volatility following its June IPO at $135 and subsequent peak near $226. The primary near-term catalyst is the September 21 Nasdaq-100 rebalancing, which is expected to lift the stock’s weighting and trigger roughly $15.5 billion in passive inflows as free float expands post-lockup. Offsetting factors include continued retail net selling of approximately $570 million over recent weeks, a six-day delay of the next Starship orbital test to as early as September 28, and a fresh $946 million NASA contract that supports the core launch business but does little to address the elevated valuation of roughly 70 times trailing revenue. Analyst consensus targets average near $222, though the market prices in substantial execution risk around AI infrastructure spend and Starlink scaling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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