The Federal Reserve's September 16 rate hike of 25 basis points to a 3.75-4% target range, the first in years, stands as the dominant driver of current S&P 500 and SPY positioning amid sticky inflation near 3.7% PCE and resilient economic growth. Elevated Treasury yields above 5% on the 10-year note reflect tighter financial conditions and reduced accommodation, pressuring equity valuations even as productivity gains and corporate spending support the index near 7,650 and SPY around 762. Recent volatility, including intraday swings of 1% or more, underscores trader sensitivity to incoming data releases and any signals on additional policy tightening, with market-implied odds incorporating the balance between persistent price pressures and the economy's underlying strength.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQu'est-ce que le S&P 500 (ESPION) frappera la semaine du 21 septembre 2026 ?
Qu'est-ce que le S&P 500 (ESPION) frappera la semaine du 21 septembre 2026 ?
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
↑ 795 $
2%
↑ 790 $
4%
↑ 785 $
5%
↑ 780 $
12%
↑ 775 $
32%
↑ 770 $
61%
↑ 765 $
91%
↓ 760 $
70%
↓ 755 $
40%
↓ 750 $
18%
↓ 745 $
11%
↓ 740 $
7%
↓ 735 $
6%
↓ 730 $
5%
$3,967 Vol.
↑ 795 $
$320 Vol.
2%
↑ 790 $
$0 Vol.
4%
↑ 785 $
$0 Vol.
5%
↑ 780 $
$453 Vol.
12%
↑ 775 $
$239 Vol.
32%
↑ 770 $
$563 Vol.
61%
↑ 765 $
$983 Vol.
91%
↓ 760 $
$100 Vol.
70%
↓ 755 $
$62 Vol.
40%
↓ 750 $
$135 Vol.
18%
↓ 745 $
$771 Vol.
11%
↓ 740 $
$0 Vol.
7%
↓ 735 $
$280 Vol.
6%
↓ 730 $
$60 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 21 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The Federal Reserve's September 16 rate hike of 25 basis points to a 3.75-4% target range, the first in years, stands as the dominant driver of current S&P 500 and SPY positioning amid sticky inflation near 3.7% PCE and resilient economic growth. Elevated Treasury yields above 5% on the 10-year note reflect tighter financial conditions and reduced accommodation, pressuring equity valuations even as productivity gains and corporate spending support the index near 7,650 and SPY around 762. Recent volatility, including intraday swings of 1% or more, underscores trader sensitivity to incoming data releases and any signals on additional policy tightening, with market-implied odds incorporating the balance between persistent price pressures and the economy's underlying strength.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 21 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$3,967Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 6:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 21 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The Federal Reserve's September 16 rate hike of 25 basis points to a 3.75-4% target range, the first in years, stands as the dominant driver of current S&P 500 and SPY positioning amid sticky inflation near 3.7% PCE and resilient economic growth. Elevated Treasury yields above 5% on the 10-year note reflect tighter financial conditions and reduced accommodation, pressuring equity valuations even as productivity gains and corporate spending support the index near 7,650 and SPY around 762. Recent volatility, including intraday swings of 1% or more, underscores trader sensitivity to incoming data releases and any signals on additional policy tightening, with market-implied odds incorporating the balance between persistent price pressures and the economy's underlying strength.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 21 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$3,967Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 6:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve's September 16 rate hike of 25 basis points to a 3.75-4% target range, the first in years, stands as the dominant driver of current S&P 500 and SPY positioning amid sticky inflation near 3.7% PCE and resilient economic growth. Elevated Treasury yields above 5% on the 10-year note reflect tighter financial conditions and reduced accommodation, pressuring equity valuations even as productivity gains and corporate spending support the index near 7,650 and SPY around 762. Recent volatility, including intraday swings of 1% or more, underscores trader sensitivity to incoming data releases and any signals on additional policy tightening, with market-implied odds incorporating the balance between persistent price pressures and the economy's underlying strength.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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