Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $42 million single-day Tuesday have set an unprecedented pace, pushing the film past $1 billion globally in just six days and establishing it as 2026’s top earner. Traders see these factors supporting a sophomore frame near the $140–160 million range, though August timing introduces greater uncertainty around the drop compared with holiday releases like Endgame. Industry tracking highlights competition between a 55–60% decline versus potential IMAX-driven resilience, leaving the 140–150 million and 150–160 million brackets nearly tied in market-implied odds. The upcoming weekend actuals will resolve the tight spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" 2ème box-office du week-end (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" 2ème box-office du week-end (Lower Strikes)
150-160 millions 47%
140-150 millions 46%
130-140 millions 43%
180 M+ 43%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
<130 M
43%
130-140 millions
43%
140-150 millions
46%
150-160 millions
47%
160-170M
43%
170-180 millions
43%
180 M+
43%
150-160 millions 47%
140-150 millions 46%
130-140 millions 43%
180 M+ 43%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
<130 M
$0 Vol.
43%
130-140 millions
$0 Vol.
43%
140-150 millions
$0 Vol.
46%
150-160 millions
$0 Vol.
47%
160-170M
$0 Vol.
43%
170-180 millions
$0 Vol.
43%
180 M+
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $42 million single-day Tuesday have set an unprecedented pace, pushing the film past $1 billion globally in just six days and establishing it as 2026’s top earner. Traders see these factors supporting a sophomore frame near the $140–160 million range, though August timing introduces greater uncertainty around the drop compared with holiday releases like Endgame. Industry tracking highlights competition between a 55–60% decline versus potential IMAX-driven resilience, leaving the 140–150 million and 150–160 million brackets nearly tied in market-implied odds. The upcoming weekend actuals will resolve the tight spread.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $42 million single-day Tuesday have set an unprecedented pace, pushing the film past $1 billion globally in just six days and establishing it as 2026’s top earner. Traders see these factors supporting a sophomore frame near the $140–160 million range, though August timing introduces greater uncertainty around the drop compared with holiday releases like Endgame. Industry tracking highlights competition between a 55–60% decline versus potential IMAX-driven resilience, leaving the 140–150 million and 150–160 million brackets nearly tied in market-implied odds. The upcoming weekend actuals will resolve the tight spread.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$0Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $42 million single-day Tuesday have set an unprecedented pace, pushing the film past $1 billion globally in just six days and establishing it as 2026’s top earner. Traders see these factors supporting a sophomore frame near the $140–160 million range, though August timing introduces greater uncertainty around the drop compared with holiday releases like Endgame. Industry tracking highlights competition between a 55–60% decline versus potential IMAX-driven resilience, leaving the 140–150 million and 150–160 million brackets nearly tied in market-implied odds. The upcoming weekend actuals will resolve the tight spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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