Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday (63%) for 2026's biggest opening weekend, propelled by explosive long-lead box office tracking reported in early April that positions it as the year's top earner, echoing the franchise's historic debuts like Endgame's $357 million domestic start despite its December 18 release. Spider-Man: Brand New Day (33%) rides strong presale momentum and Tom Holland's proven summer draw in the July 31 slot, while Toy Story 5 (19.7%) benefits from Pixar's family nostalgia and glowing early reactions ahead of June 19. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (20.7%) holds YA franchise appeal for November, but The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April 1 launch underwhelmed relative to expectations, limiting it to 6%. Watch for Mandalorian & Grogu's May 22 presales and summer tracking shifts as key swing factors in this crowded slate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 33%
Toy Story 5 30.9%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 16.6%
$12,840 Vol.
$12,840 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
33%
Toy Story 5
31%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
17%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
8%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
The Odyssey
1%
Avengers: Doomsday 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 33%
Toy Story 5 30.9%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 16.6%
$12,840 Vol.
$12,840 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
33%
Toy Story 5
31%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
17%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
8%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
The Odyssey
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday (63%) for 2026's biggest opening weekend, propelled by explosive long-lead box office tracking reported in early April that positions it as the year's top earner, echoing the franchise's historic debuts like Endgame's $357 million domestic start despite its December 18 release. Spider-Man: Brand New Day (33%) rides strong presale momentum and Tom Holland's proven summer draw in the July 31 slot, while Toy Story 5 (19.7%) benefits from Pixar's family nostalgia and glowing early reactions ahead of June 19. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (20.7%) holds YA franchise appeal for November, but The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April 1 launch underwhelmed relative to expectations, limiting it to 6%. Watch for Mandalorian & Grogu's May 22 presales and summer tracking shifts as key swing factors in this crowded slate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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