Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 31 domestic opening near $360 million, driven by unprecedented preview sales and strong early audience reception, has anchored trader consensus at 74.5 percent. The film’s multiversal storyline, Tom Holland’s star power, and favorable summer positioning allowed it to eclipse prior benchmarks and secure the year’s largest launch to date. Avengers: Doomsday retains 24 percent support on the strength of its December 18 ensemble hype and pre-sale momentum, though same-weekend competition from Dune: Messiah and a compressed holiday window limit upside. Toy Story 5’s solid June opening and franchise familiarity keep it in the mix at low odds, while later releases like The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face steeper barriers against these established front-runners.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 75%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$65,302 Vol.
$65,302 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
75%
Avengers: Doomsday
24%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 75%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$65,302 Vol.
$65,302 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$15,481 Vol.
75%
Avengers: Doomsday
$17,727 Vol.
24%
Toy Story 5
$3,366 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,178 Vol.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 31 domestic opening near $360 million, driven by unprecedented preview sales and strong early audience reception, has anchored trader consensus at 74.5 percent. The film’s multiversal storyline, Tom Holland’s star power, and favorable summer positioning allowed it to eclipse prior benchmarks and secure the year’s largest launch to date. Avengers: Doomsday retains 24 percent support on the strength of its December 18 ensemble hype and pre-sale momentum, though same-weekend competition from Dune: Messiah and a compressed holiday window limit upside. Toy Story 5’s solid June opening and franchise familiarity keep it in the mix at low odds, while later releases like The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face steeper barriers against these established front-runners.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$65,302Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 31 domestic opening near $360 million, driven by unprecedented preview sales and strong early audience reception, has anchored trader consensus at 74.5 percent. The film’s multiversal storyline, Tom Holland’s star power, and favorable summer positioning allowed it to eclipse prior benchmarks and secure the year’s largest launch to date. Avengers: Doomsday retains 24 percent support on the strength of its December 18 ensemble hype and pre-sale momentum, though same-weekend competition from Dune: Messiah and a compressed holiday window limit upside. Toy Story 5’s solid June opening and franchise familiarity keep it in the mix at low odds, while later releases like The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face steeper barriers against these established front-runners.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$65,302Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 31 domestic opening near $360 million, driven by unprecedented preview sales and strong early audience reception, has anchored trader consensus at 74.5 percent. The film’s multiversal storyline, Tom Holland’s star power, and favorable summer positioning allowed it to eclipse prior benchmarks and secure the year’s largest launch to date. Avengers: Doomsday retains 24 percent support on the strength of its December 18 ensemble hype and pre-sale momentum, though same-weekend competition from Dune: Messiah and a compressed holiday window limit upside. Toy Story 5’s solid June opening and franchise familiarity keep it in the mix at low odds, while later releases like The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face steeper barriers against these established front-runners.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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