Strong second-weekend performance and sustained audience demand position the $70-72 million range as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus for Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third weekend. The Marvel title posted a record $360 million domestic debut followed by a $145 million sophomore frame, one of the largest ever, reflecting exceptional word-of-mouth and cultural momentum for the Tom Holland-Zendaya vehicle. Recent tracking and early Friday estimates cluster around $67-70 million, supporting a modest 50-55% drop that still leads the box office. Light competition and strong legs further bolster the implied probability, though any late shifts in walk-up or regional weather could nudge results toward the adjacent $68-70 million band. The next chart update and final Monday numbers remain key catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" 3ème box-office du week-end (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" 3ème box-office du week-end (Lower Strikes)
70-72m 71.1%
72 millions ou plus 14.7%
68-70m 12.0%
66-68m 2.8%
$45,940 Vol.
$45,940 Vol.
16 août 2026
<66m
<1%
66-68m
3%
68-70m
12%
70-72m
74%
72 millions ou plus
15%
70-72m 71.1%
72 millions ou plus 14.7%
68-70m 12.0%
66-68m 2.8%
$45,940 Vol.
$45,940 Vol.
16 août 2026
<66m
$9,257 Vol.
<1%
66-68m
$7,032 Vol.
3%
68-70m
$9,274 Vol.
12%
70-72m
$4,571 Vol.
74%
72 millions ou plus
$15,807 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong second-weekend performance and sustained audience demand position the $70-72 million range as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus for Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third weekend. The Marvel title posted a record $360 million domestic debut followed by a $145 million sophomore frame, one of the largest ever, reflecting exceptional word-of-mouth and cultural momentum for the Tom Holland-Zendaya vehicle. Recent tracking and early Friday estimates cluster around $67-70 million, supporting a modest 50-55% drop that still leads the box office. Light competition and strong legs further bolster the implied probability, though any late shifts in walk-up or regional weather could nudge results toward the adjacent $68-70 million band. The next chart update and final Monday numbers remain key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Volume
$45,940Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong second-weekend performance and sustained audience demand position the $70-72 million range as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus for Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third weekend. The Marvel title posted a record $360 million domestic debut followed by a $145 million sophomore frame, one of the largest ever, reflecting exceptional word-of-mouth and cultural momentum for the Tom Holland-Zendaya vehicle. Recent tracking and early Friday estimates cluster around $67-70 million, supporting a modest 50-55% drop that still leads the box office. Light competition and strong legs further bolster the implied probability, though any late shifts in walk-up or regional weather could nudge results toward the adjacent $68-70 million band. The next chart update and final Monday numbers remain key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$45,940Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong second-weekend performance and sustained audience demand position the $70-72 million range as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus for Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third weekend. The Marvel title posted a record $360 million domestic debut followed by a $145 million sophomore frame, one of the largest ever, reflecting exceptional word-of-mouth and cultural momentum for the Tom Holland-Zendaya vehicle. Recent tracking and early Friday estimates cluster around $67-70 million, supporting a modest 50-55% drop that still leads the box office. Light competition and strong legs further bolster the implied probability, though any late shifts in walk-up or regional weather could nudge results toward the adjacent $68-70 million band. The next chart update and final Monday numbers remain key catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le box-office du troisième week-end de « Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour » sera-t-il inférieur à 72 millions ?
83%
Oui
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?
68%
Le total des recettes nationales pour Spider-Man : Brand New Day sera-t-il compris entre 800 et 900 millions d'ici le 31 août ?
68%
Oui
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